Nikkei stock average hits record high on snap election speculation

Japan's Nikkei stock average surged to a record high of 53,814.79 shortly after trading opened on January 13, fueled by reports of a possible snap election. The rally followed Wall Street gains and a weaker yen. Finance officials hinted at potential currency intervention.

Tokyo's Nikkei 225 stock average jumped 3.6% to a record 53,814.79 within the first 10 minutes of trading on January 13, following a public holiday. The broader Topix index also rose 2.4% to a peak of 3,599.31.

The surge caught up with Wall Street's rally, where the Dow and S&P 500 hit all-time highs overnight, led by strong tech shares. A sharply weaker yen, trading around ¥158 to the dollar, boosted overseas earnings for Japan's export-oriented firms, lifting investor sentiment.

Adding to the momentum, unconfirmed reports from the Yomiuri Shimbun suggested Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi might dissolve the Lower House this month, paving the way for a snap election in early February. As Japan's first female prime minister and a proponent of expansionary fiscal policy, Takaichi enjoys high approval ratings, and an early vote could solidify her position.

Bonds weakened, with the 10-year Japanese government bond yield reaching 2.135%. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, who met U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent over the weekend, expressed concerns about one-sided yen movements and noted that authorities have a 'free hand' for intervention if needed.

Investors shrugged off a U.S. Justice Department criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Standout performers included Toyota Motor, up 5%, and chip-testing equipment maker Advantest, gaining nearly 6%.

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Tokyo Stock Exchange traders celebrate as Nikkei hits record 54,364.54, driven by election speculation and weak yen.
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Japan's Nikkei stock average hits record high above 54,000

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On January 14, 2026, Japan's Nikkei stock average surged to a record high of 54,364.54. Speculation over a snap election by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi fueled hopes for expanded fiscal stimulus, while a weakening yen boosted exporters. Meanwhile, bond yields rose amid fiscal concerns.

Japan’s Nikkei share average fell for a fifth straight session as global trade frictions dampened risk sentiment, while government bonds rebounded after a sharp drop the previous day. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s call for a snap election on Monday heightened concerns over the nation’s fragile finances.

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Japan's Nikkei share average rallied ahead of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's snap lower house election on February 8, driven by a weaker yen and positive polls for her Liberal Democratic Party. Voters are prioritizing inflation countermeasures, while an AI-doctored campaign video has raised concerns over electoral fairness.

As confirmed by Finance Ministry monthly data, Japan avoided direct market intervention to support the yen this month. By leveraging fears of coordinated action with the U.S., the yen has improved from the fringes of 160 against the dollar to the 154 range. This strategy offers short-term relief amid looming elections and economic pressures.

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On Friday, January 24, 2026, the yen recorded its biggest one-day gain since August amid rising speculation that Japanese authorities might intervene in the market to stem its decline. The currency rallied as much as 1.75% against the dollar to ¥155.63, reaching its strongest level of the year. The surge was triggered by reports that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York had inquired about the yen's exchange rate with financial institutions.

The Bank of Japan’s quarterly tankan survey showed large manufacturers’ business sentiment index rising to 15 in December from 14 in September, marking a four-year high since December 2021. This improvement reinforces market expectations for a rate hike by the central bank. Nonmanufacturers’ index held steady at 34.

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Japan's government has revised upward its economic forecast for the fiscal year ending next March, projecting acceleration in growth the following year due to a massive stimulus package boosting consumption and capital expenditure. The latest projections, approved by the cabinet on Wednesday, expect 1.1% expansion in the current fiscal year. Growth is forecasted at 1.3% for fiscal 2026.

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