Japan stabilizes yen without intervention via U.S. fears

As confirmed by Finance Ministry monthly data, Japan avoided direct market intervention to support the yen this month. By leveraging fears of coordinated action with the U.S., the yen has improved from the fringes of 160 against the dollar to the 154 range. This strategy offers short-term relief amid looming elections and economic pressures.

The Finance Ministry's monthly data released on Friday, January 31, confirmed that Japan spent no funds on direct intervention to bolster the yen over the four weeks ending January 28. This allowed Japan to secure temporary breathing room for the yen without market intervention, signaling short-term success for adjusted tactics that heavily rely on fears of U.S. involvement.

Just a week earlier, with a snap election approaching, policymakers appeared cornered by rising bond yields, stock market vulnerabilities, and the central bank's lack of readiness to hint at an imminent rate hike. In a matter of days, however, the yen shifted from the edges of 160 against the dollar to hover around 154, driven largely by concerns over potential coordinated moves between Tokyo and Washington.

Keywords such as Japanese economy, yen, Sanae Takaichi, and U.S. highlight the context. Authorities have demonstrated a new path to yen stability while avoiding market disruptions, though challenges persist beyond the short term.

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Tokyo Stock Exchange traders in panic as Nikkei 225 plunges over 1,000 points on surging yen.
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Nikkei average plunges over 1,000 points on yen surge

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Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average tumbled more than 1,000 points early Monday amid a surge in the yen against the dollar, dipping below 53,000. The currency's strength has fueled speculation of foreign exchange intervention by Japanese and U.S. authorities, heightening market tensions.

Hints that the United States might join Japan in supporting the yen have captured the attention of traders and investors. While solo interventions by Japan were seen as having limited impact, this development has altered market dynamics.

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On Friday, January 24, 2026, the yen recorded its biggest one-day gain since August amid rising speculation that Japanese authorities might intervene in the market to stem its decline. The currency rallied as much as 1.75% against the dollar to ¥155.63, reaching its strongest level of the year. The surge was triggered by reports that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York had inquired about the yen's exchange rate with financial institutions.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at a possible interest rate hike in a speech on December 1, leading to rising bond yields and a stronger yen. This triggered a decline in the Nikkei stock average. Markets now see heightened odds of a hike at the central bank's December 19 policy meeting.

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Following its December 19-20 policy meeting, the Bank of Japan raised its rate to 0.75%, prompting yen fluctuations, sustained high inflation, bank rate adjustments, and measured government support amid U.S. tariff concerns and shunto wage prospects.

Japan’s exports increased 6.1% in November from a year earlier, surpassing economists’ forecast of 5.0%, according to the Finance Ministry. Shipments to the U.S. rose 8.8% and to the EU 19.6%, offsetting a decline to China. The overall trade balance showed a surplus of ¥322.3 billion.

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The Bank of Japan decided on December 19 to raise its short-term policy rate target from 0.5% to 0.75%, marking a 30-year high since 1995 and the first increase since January. The move anticipates wage hikes and aims to achieve the 2% inflation target amid elevated inflation and a weak yen.

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