Experts debate corporate tax cut amid fiscal crisis

Two La Tercera columnists present opposing views on cutting Chile's corporate tax amid economic slowdown and fiscal deficit. Alejandro Weber advocates reducing it from 27% to 23% to boost investment and jobs, offset by spending cuts. Carlos J. García warns it won't drive significant growth due to rent-seeking and market concentration.

Chile's economy showed marked slowdown in 2025: 3.3% growth in the first half and just 1.7% in the second, confirmed by January 2026 Imacec contraction, writes Alejandro Weber, dean of Economics at Universidad San Sebastián. The Public Finances Report shows 2026 spending commitments at 23.8% of GDP, revenues at 22%, structural deficit of at least 2.7% and cash deficit of 1.8%. March fiscal obligations total about US$7,500 million, leaving coffers nearly empty. Chile is the only OECD country to raise corporate tax burden over the past 20 years, while 34 of 38 cut it, notes Weber, proposing a drop in first-category rate from 27% to 23%, netting a fiscal cost of 0.36% of GDP (0.09 points per percentage point, per Comisión Marfan). He suggests gradualism, permanent spending cuts—the government announced US$4,000 million for the first year—and other revenues like online betting regulation (0.1% GDP). 'Lower corporate tax means more investment, more formal jobs, and higher market incomes for workers,' writes Weber. In contrast, Carlos J. García, academic at Universidad Alberto Hurtado, questions benefits. He cites Mertens and Ravn estimating 0.6% per capita GDP boost per point cut, but Owen Zidar shows growth comes from cuts to lower incomes, not corporations, where surplus goes to dividends in concentrated markets. VAT cuts have incomplete pass-through to consumers. García calls for public investments in mining, desalination, infrastructure, and human capital. 'These rosy accounts crumble when they hit the reality of rent-seeking and inequality,' he states.

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French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu presents the 2026 budget with tax hikes and spending cuts in a press conference at the National Assembly.
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French government unveils 2026 budget with tax hikes and spending cuts

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On October 14, 2025, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu presented the 2026 finance bill, aiming to cut the public deficit to 4.7% of GDP through €14 billion in extra tax revenues and €17 billion in spending savings. The budget targets high earners, businesses, and social expenditures, while drawing criticism over its feasibility.

Chile's Centro de Estudios Públicos (CEP) assessed Finance Minister Jorge Quiroz's three key goals for the José Antonio Kast administration: 4% growth, 6% unemployment, and fiscal balance by term's end. Researchers Rodrigo Vergara and Jorge Rodríguez call them ambitious yet feasible, citing past achievements.

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Chile's Casen 2024 survey reports income poverty falling to 17.3% under stricter methodology—a drop of over 600,000 people since 2022—but experts caution against complacency. With one-fifth of the population still vulnerable and rising state subsidy reliance, analysts advocate sustainable reforms like negative income tax and enhanced job opportunities.

The National Assembly's finance commission rejected the Zucman tax on very high patrimonies on Monday, October 20, proposed by the left. Deputies from the government coalition and the National Rally voted against this amendment, which aimed to impose a 2% minimum on patrimonies over 100 million euros. The debate will continue in the hemicycle starting Friday.

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Senators approved, on December 15, the acceleration of the suppression of the business value-added contribution (CVAE), a measure demanded by business organizations to boost industrial competitiveness. This decision, included in the 2026 finance bill, raises questions about its budgetary and territorial impacts, according to economists Nadine Levratto and Philippe Poinsot. Despite a 75% reduction in 2021, effects on employment and investment remain limited.

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sanctioned on December 26, 2025, the law—previously approved by Congress on December 17—cutting 10% of federal fiscal incentives and raising taxes on betting houses, fintechs, and interest on own capital (JCP), projecting R$20 billion in 2026 revenue. However, he vetoed a congressional 'jabuti' clause revalidating nearly R$2 billion in parliamentary amendments from 2019-2023, citing unconstitutionality per STF rulings.

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Following initial backlash over a proposed norm dubbed a 'tie-down law,' Chile's government admitted delaying its explanation during a political meeting, while unions urged legislative priority for the public sector readjustment bill to ensure job stability amid the March 2026 transition.

 

 

 

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