2.63% drop in Colombia's IPP for 2025 eases inflation pressures

Production costs in Colombia's industry fell 2.63% at the end of 2025 compared to 2024, according to the Producer Price Index (IPP) report from Dane. The Ministry of Hacienda highlighted this drop as a sign of relief for inflation, driven by moderation in external raw material prices and imported goods. The mining and quarrying sector led with a -19.91% decline.

The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) released the Producer Price Index (IPP) report, which tracks producer revenues in the initial commercialization channel, from farms, mines, or factories. For the full year 2025, Colombia's national IPP recorded an annual variation of -2.63%, contrasting with 2024 trends and confirming cost moderation in the economy, as stated by the Ministry of Hacienda and Public Credit.

The sector with the variation below the average was mining and quarrying, at -19.91%. Agriculture, livestock, and fishing showed -1.69%, while manufacturing industries saw a slight rise of 1.03%. In December 2025, the IPP dropped -0.39% from November, with declines in agriculture and fishing (-1.77%) and mining (-1.63%), and an increase in manufacturing (0.30%).

The Ministry of Hacienda stressed that this decline does not signal weakening domestic production but rather developments in external raw materials markets. Goods for the internal market remained stable, near zero, without sharp drops or significant inflationary pressures. Moreover, prices of imported goods fell notably, particularly for fuels, petroleum derivatives, and industrial inputs, thereby lowering production costs for Colombian firms and aiding overall inflation moderation.

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DANE reported that manufacturing industrial production fell 0.5% in January 2026 compared to January 2025, with real sales down 0.7%. This marks two consecutive months of production contraction and three for sales.

Following projections of around 5.2% for year-end 2025, Colombia's National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported actual annual inflation of 5.1% for December 2025, down 10 basis points from December 2024. This below-expectation figure underscores persistent pressures in housing, services, and food amid minimum wage hikes, as the central bank eyes interest rate moves.

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Colombia's January inflation hit 1.18% monthly, exceeding historical averages and highlighting the broad impact of the minimum wage increase on the IPC basket. The services component drove the uptick, with an annual variation of 6.33%. This breaks two months of moderation, pushing annual inflation to 5.35%.

Colombia's National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that manufacturing production rose 1.9% in October 2025 compared to October 2024. Manufacturing sales grew 2.4%, and employed personnel increased 0.7%. Bruce Mac Master, president of Andi, highlighted sectoral heterogeneity and the importance of the year's final months.

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Colombia's minimum wage rose 23% for 2026, prompting over 14% of firms to switch from integral to ordinary salaries. A study by the Colombian Federation of Human Management indicates 32% of companies cut expenses while 24% turn to AI automation. Meanwhile, J.P. Morgan notes a robust labor market beforehand, with unemployment at historic lows.

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