2.63% drop in Colombia's IPP for 2025 eases inflation pressures

Production costs in Colombia's industry fell 2.63% at the end of 2025 compared to 2024, according to the Producer Price Index (IPP) report from Dane. The Ministry of Hacienda highlighted this drop as a sign of relief for inflation, driven by moderation in external raw material prices and imported goods. The mining and quarrying sector led with a -19.91% decline.

The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) released the Producer Price Index (IPP) report, which tracks producer revenues in the initial commercialization channel, from farms, mines, or factories. For the full year 2025, Colombia's national IPP recorded an annual variation of -2.63%, contrasting with 2024 trends and confirming cost moderation in the economy, as stated by the Ministry of Hacienda and Public Credit.

The sector with the variation below the average was mining and quarrying, at -19.91%. Agriculture, livestock, and fishing showed -1.69%, while manufacturing industries saw a slight rise of 1.03%. In December 2025, the IPP dropped -0.39% from November, with declines in agriculture and fishing (-1.77%) and mining (-1.63%), and an increase in manufacturing (0.30%).

The Ministry of Hacienda stressed that this decline does not signal weakening domestic production but rather developments in external raw materials markets. Goods for the internal market remained stable, near zero, without sharp drops or significant inflationary pressures. Moreover, prices of imported goods fell notably, particularly for fuels, petroleum derivatives, and industrial inputs, thereby lowering production costs for Colombian firms and aiding overall inflation moderation.

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Illustration of a Colombian factory during industrial production decline in January 2026, with workers reviewing falling output charts.
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Colombia's industrial production falls 0.5% in January 2026

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DANE reported that manufacturing industrial production fell 0.5% in January 2026 compared to January 2025, with real sales down 0.7%. This marks two consecutive months of production contraction and three for sales.

Following projections of around 5.2% for year-end 2025, Colombia's National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported actual annual inflation of 5.1% for December 2025, down 10 basis points from December 2024. This below-expectation figure underscores persistent pressures in housing, services, and food amid minimum wage hikes, as the central bank eyes interest rate moves.

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Colombia's January inflation hit 1.18% monthly, exceeding historical averages and highlighting the broad impact of the minimum wage increase on the IPC basket. The services component drove the uptick, with an annual variation of 6.33%. This breaks two months of moderation, pushing annual inflation to 5.35%.

Colombia's National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that manufacturing production rose 1.9% in October 2025 compared to October 2024. Manufacturing sales grew 2.4%, and employed personnel increased 0.7%. Bruce Mac Master, president of Andi, highlighted sectoral heterogeneity and the importance of the year's final months.

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Chilean economists anticipate a negative or zero variation in the Consumer Price Index (IPC) for December, closing 2025 annual inflation around 3.5% or 3.6%. For the first quarter of 2026, they project convergence below 3%, driven by drops in fuels, food, and electricity. Official data will be released on January 8.

Colombia's minimum wage rose 23% for 2026, prompting over 14% of firms to switch from integral to ordinary salaries. A study by the Colombian Federation of Human Management indicates 32% of companies cut expenses while 24% turn to AI automation. Meanwhile, J.P. Morgan notes a robust labor market beforehand, with unemployment at historic lows.

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Argentina's industrial production dropped 6.1% in November compared to the same month in 2024, according to preliminary data from the Latin American Economic Research Foundation (FIEL), marking the fifth consecutive decline since July. While it posted a slight monthly increase of 0.4%, the sector has accumulated a 0.5% contraction over the first eleven months of the year. This outcome occurs amid an industrial recession that began in February, worsened by a shorter working month.

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