Arvind Panagariya advises RBI to let rupee weaken

Arvind Panagariya, chairman of the 16th Finance Commission, has urged the Reserve Bank of India to stop defending the rupee aggressively with foreign exchange reserves. He described the psychological barrier of 100 rupees per dollar as just a number.

Panagariya said letting the currency depreciate would be the right response to pressure from rising oil prices. He warned that continued intervention would cause reserves to bleed out without lasting success. The advice comes amid ongoing currency challenges for India.

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Trading floor at Bombay Stock Exchange showing screens with Indian rupee's 9.9% FY26 decline, Asia's worst, amid oil surge and stock drops.
በ AI የተሰራ ምስል

Indian rupee ends FY26 as Asia's worst performer with 9.9% decline

በAI የተዘገበ በ AI የተሰራ ምስል

The Indian rupee depreciated by 9.88% against the US dollar in FY26, marking it as Asia's weakest currency amid record foreign investor outflows and surging oil prices. The Reserve Bank of India intervened to stabilize the currency, while domestic funds provided a record cushion against the exits. Equity indices like Nifty and Sensex recorded their worst fiscal performance since FY20.

The Indian rupee continues to weaken against the US dollar. On Tuesday, it hovered around 95.36 in early trading. Since the beginning of this year, the currency has fallen by around 5.64 per cent.

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Continuing its sharp FY26 depreciation—after breaching 94 in late March—the Indian rupee fell to a fresh record low of 95.28 against the US dollar on Tuesday, May 5. Oil prices exceeding $110 a barrel have intensified inflation and balance-of-payments worries, prompting Reserve Bank of India interventions amid curbs on foreign exchange positions.

The rupiah reached Rp17,500 per US dollar on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. The pressure stems from a mix of global and domestic factors.

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The rupiah closed weaker at Rp17,668 per US dollar on Monday, May 18, 2026. The government and Bank Indonesia have taken steps to maintain stability of the currency.

India's banking system liquidity surplus has narrowed to ₹75,483 crore amid advance tax outflows of Rs 2 lakh crore and forex market interventions. Money market rates rose as a result, leading the Reserve Bank of India to conduct a repo operation. Economists estimate the RBI sold over $15 billion to support the rupee.

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Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa said Indonesia's rupiah should strengthen due to strong national economic fundamentals. However, the rupiah weakened to Rp16,997 per US dollar on March 16, 2026. He remains confident the IHSG will hit 10,000 by end-2026.

 

 

 

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