Arvind Panagariya sarankan RBI biarkan nilai tukar rupee melemah

Arvind Panagariya, ketua Komisi Keuangan ke-16, mendesak Reserve Bank of India untuk berhenti membela rupee secara agresif menggunakan cadangan devisa. Ia menyebut ambang batas psikologis 100 rupee per dolar hanyalah sekadar angka.

Panagariya mengatakan bahwa membiarkan mata uang terdepresiasi akan menjadi respons yang tepat terhadap tekanan dari kenaikan harga minyak. Ia memperingatkan bahwa intervensi yang berkelanjutan akan menyebabkan cadangan devisa terkuras tanpa hasil yang bertahan lama. Saran ini muncul di tengah tantangan mata uang yang sedang dihadapi India.

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Illustration of Prime Minister Narendra Modi advocating for reduced consumption of gold and oil amid economic pressures from foreign reserves and regional conflicts.
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Modi calls for austerity to ease pressure on foreign reserves

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi has urged citizens to reduce spending on gold and petroleum products amid falling foreign exchange reserves and rising import bills linked to the West Asia conflict.

The Indian rupee continues to weaken against the US dollar. On Tuesday, it hovered around 95.36 in early trading. Since the beginning of this year, the currency has fallen by around 5.64 per cent.

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The Reserve Bank of India's steps to increase dollar inflows aim to stabilize the rupee in the short term. Economists caution that these actions provide only temporary relief and do not address underlying pressures.

Presidential spokesperson Adrián Ravier caused internal discomfort by stating that a dollar at 1,700 or 1,800 pesos is a possibility in the coming months.

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Saugata Bhattacharya stated there are few indications the Indian economy is overheating. He noted several factors that could shape growth and monetary policy.

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