Bank asing klasifikasikan ulang transaksi rupee sebagai lindung nilai setelah pembatasan RBI

Bank-bank asing mengklasifikasikan ulang transaksi arbitrase yang terdampak oleh pengetatan spekulasi rupee oleh Reserve Bank of India (RBI) sebagai lindung nilai untuk arus masuk modal dari induk perusahaan mereka di luar negeri. Strategi ini bertujuan untuk menghindari batas posisi terbuka bersih sebesar $100 juta yang ditetapkan regulator. Pejabat RBI mungkin akan memeriksa perubahan ini berdasarkan linimasa dan dokumentasi yang ada.

Bank-bank asing di India mulai mengklasifikasikan ulang kontrak forward USD-INR dan posisi arbitrase tertentu sebagai respons terhadap pembatasan terbaru RBI atas spekulasi rupee. Transaksi ini, yang sebelumnya dianggap sebagai arbitrase spekulatif, kini diberi label sebagai lindung nilai yang terkait dengan transfer modal dari perusahaan induk di luar negeri. RBI memberlakukan batas posisi terbuka bersih sebesar $100 juta untuk mengekang spekulasi berlebihan di pasar non-deliverable forwards dan pasar forward domestik. Klasifikasi ulang ini bertujuan untuk mematuhi aturan baru sekaligus tetap mempertahankan eksposur. Namun, bank sentral berencana untuk meneliti langkah-langkah tersebut dengan memeriksa dokumentasi dan linimasa transaksi untuk memastikan legitimasinya. Tidak ada bank spesifik yang disebutkan dalam laporan tersebut, namun praktik ini melibatkan lembaga-lembaga global yang aktif di pasar mata uang India.

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Trading floor at Bombay Stock Exchange showing screens with Indian rupee's 9.9% FY26 decline, Asia's worst, amid oil surge and stock drops.
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Indian rupee ends FY26 as Asia's worst performer with 9.9% decline

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The Indian rupee depreciated by 9.88% against the US dollar in FY26, marking it as Asia's weakest currency amid record foreign investor outflows and surging oil prices. The Reserve Bank of India intervened to stabilize the currency, while domestic funds provided a record cushion against the exits. Equity indices like Nifty and Sensex recorded their worst fiscal performance since FY20.

India's Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has limited banks' net open positions in rupee foreign exchange dealings to $100 million per day, aiming to curb speculation and stabilize the currency. The measures respond to rupee depreciation driven by the Iran war, depleting reserves, rising crude oil prices, and USD-INR fluctuations.

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India's banking system liquidity surplus has narrowed to ₹75,483 crore amid advance tax outflows of Rs 2 lakh crore and forex market interventions. Money market rates rose as a result, leading the Reserve Bank of India to conduct a repo operation. Economists estimate the RBI sold over $15 billion to support the rupee.

The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday kept the key policy rate, the repo rate, unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Amid uncertainties from the West Asia conflict, the committee retained its neutral stance. It has lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for FY27.

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Foreign portfolio investors pulled out a record Rs 1.18 lakh crore in March, driving the Sensex down 2.22% to 71,947.55 and Nifty 2.14% to 22,331.40 on Monday. The rupee breached 95 intra-day before closing at 94.83 against the dollar. Elevated crude prices above $100 per barrel due to the West Asia conflict added pressure.

Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

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The Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina (BCRA) purchased US$42 million in the foreign exchange market, extending its streak to 30 consecutive days of currency acquisitions. Gross international reserves reached US$45.158 million, up US$102 million from the previous day. Since the start of the year, the BCRA has added purchases totaling US$2.089 million, including US$932 million in February.

 

 

 

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