Arvind Panagariya conseille à la RBI de laisser la roupie se déprécier

Arvind Panagariya, président de la 16e Commission des finances, a exhorté la Reserve Bank of India à cesser de défendre agressivement la roupie à l'aide de ses réserves de change. Il a qualifié le seuil psychologique de 100 roupies pour un dollar de simple chiffre.

Panagariya a déclaré que laisser la devise se déprécier serait la réponse appropriée face à la pression exercée par la hausse des prix du pétrole. Il a averti qu'une intervention continue entraînerait un épuisement des réserves sans succès durable. Ce conseil intervient dans un contexte de défis monétaires persistants pour l'Inde.

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Trading floor at Bombay Stock Exchange showing screens with Indian rupee's 9.9% FY26 decline, Asia's worst, amid oil surge and stock drops.
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Indian rupee ends FY26 as Asia's worst performer with 9.9% decline

Rapporté par l'IA Image générée par IA

The Indian rupee depreciated by 9.88% against the US dollar in FY26, marking it as Asia's weakest currency amid record foreign investor outflows and surging oil prices. The Reserve Bank of India intervened to stabilize the currency, while domestic funds provided a record cushion against the exits. Equity indices like Nifty and Sensex recorded their worst fiscal performance since FY20.

The Indian rupee continues to weaken against the US dollar. On Tuesday, it hovered around 95.36 in early trading. Since the beginning of this year, the currency has fallen by around 5.64 per cent.

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Continuing its sharp FY26 depreciation—after breaching 94 in late March—the Indian rupee fell to a fresh record low of 95.28 against the US dollar on Tuesday, May 5. Oil prices exceeding $110 a barrel have intensified inflation and balance-of-payments worries, prompting Reserve Bank of India interventions amid curbs on foreign exchange positions.

The rupiah reached Rp17,500 per US dollar on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. The pressure stems from a mix of global and domestic factors.

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The rupiah closed weaker at Rp17,668 per US dollar on Monday, May 18, 2026. The government and Bank Indonesia have taken steps to maintain stability of the currency.

India's banking system liquidity surplus has narrowed to ₹75,483 crore amid advance tax outflows of Rs 2 lakh crore and forex market interventions. Money market rates rose as a result, leading the Reserve Bank of India to conduct a repo operation. Economists estimate the RBI sold over $15 billion to support the rupee.

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Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa said Indonesia's rupiah should strengthen due to strong national economic fundamentals. However, the rupiah weakened to Rp16,997 per US dollar on March 16, 2026. He remains confident the IHSG will hit 10,000 by end-2026.

 

 

 

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