China's consumption and investment weaken in November

China's retail sales grew by just 1.3 percent in November, missing forecasts and slowing for the sixth straight month. Investment from January to November fell 2.6 percent as the property slump persisted. Officials recognize ongoing challenges and urge more proactive macroeconomic policies.

China faces mounting pressure to ramp up stimulus as new data shows its growth engines sputtering, with retail sales growth slowing for six straight months and investment showing renewed signs of strain in November despite recent policy support.

The deceleration in consumption growth and the deepening property slump underscore the challenges Beijing faces in revitalising the economy heading into 2026. Retail sales, a key gauge of consumer spending, grew in November by just 1.3 per cent, year on year, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday.

The figure fell short of the 2.92 per cent forecast from financial data provider Wind and marked a drop from October’s 2.9 per cent increase.

Fu Linghui, a spokesman for the bureau, said China’s economy remained stable in November, sustaining the momentum of steady progress. “However, we should be aware that the economy still faces multiple challenges of external instability and uncertainty as well as insufficient effective domestic demand.”

The official said China must adopt more proactive and effective macro policies, and continue to expand domestic demand, improve supply, and optimise the allocation of both new and existing resources.

The persistent property downturn further weighed on overall investment, with fixed-asset investment falling 2.6 per cent from January to November.

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Illustration depicting South Korea's rising industrial output, retail sales, and facility investment in March, with factories, shoppers, construction, and upward charts.
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South Korea's industrial output, retail sales and facility investment rise in March

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South Korea's industrial output, retail sales and facility investment all rose from a month earlier in March, official data showed on April 30. It marked the first time since September that all three indicators posted on-month growth. A ministry official said the Middle East crisis has not yet impacted the economy.

China's economy posted a steady recovery in the first four months of 2026, with key indicators rebounding and new growth drivers gaining momentum.

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China's consumer price index rose 0.8 percent in the first two months of 2026, driven by a surge in spending during an extended Chinese New Year holiday. However, analysts remain concerned about long-term deflation risks.

US retail sales declined by 0.2% in January, marking a slowdown from December's flat performance but outperforming economists' forecasts of a 0.3% drop. Core sales excluding autos remained unchanged. Year-over-year, sales rose by 3.2%.

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Official data showed China's value-added industrial output rose 5.6 percent year on year in the first four months of 2026. Growth in April reached 4.1 percent from a year earlier.

Hong Kong's economy expanded 5.9% year-on-year in Q1 2026, its fastest quarterly growth in nearly five years and surpassing Financial Secretary Paul Chan's forecast of over 4%. Driven by private consumption and government spending despite Middle East tensions, the advance estimate from the Census and Statistics Department exceeded the 4% rise in Q4 2025. A government spokesman highlighted a positive outlook but noted regional risks.

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