China's consumption and investment weaken in November

China's retail sales grew by just 1.3 percent in November, missing forecasts and slowing for the sixth straight month. Investment from January to November fell 2.6 percent as the property slump persisted. Officials recognize ongoing challenges and urge more proactive macroeconomic policies.

China faces mounting pressure to ramp up stimulus as new data shows its growth engines sputtering, with retail sales growth slowing for six straight months and investment showing renewed signs of strain in November despite recent policy support.

The deceleration in consumption growth and the deepening property slump underscore the challenges Beijing faces in revitalising the economy heading into 2026. Retail sales, a key gauge of consumer spending, grew in November by just 1.3 per cent, year on year, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday.

The figure fell short of the 2.92 per cent forecast from financial data provider Wind and marked a drop from October’s 2.9 per cent increase.

Fu Linghui, a spokesman for the bureau, said China’s economy remained stable in November, sustaining the momentum of steady progress. “However, we should be aware that the economy still faces multiple challenges of external instability and uncertainty as well as insufficient effective domestic demand.”

The official said China must adopt more proactive and effective macro policies, and continue to expand domestic demand, improve supply, and optimise the allocation of both new and existing resources.

The persistent property downturn further weighed on overall investment, with fixed-asset investment falling 2.6 per cent from January to November.

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Split-image illustration contrasting South Korea's rising industrial output from semiconductors with sharp retail sales decline, featuring factory production and empty malls.
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Industrial output rises 0.9% in November; retail sales post sharpest fall in 21 months

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South Korea's industrial output grew 0.9 percent in November, driven by strong semiconductor production, while retail sales fell 3.3 percent, the sharpest drop in 21 months. Data from the Ministry of Data and Statistics attributes the retail decline to the fading effects of the Chuseok holiday and base effects. Cumulative retail sales for January to November rose 0.4 percent, suggesting a possible positive annual figure.

China's consumer price index rose 0.2 percent year on year in January, missing market expectations, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. This marked the fourth consecutive monthly increase, though at a slower pace than December's 0.8 percent rise. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, showed a moderate upward trend amid recovering consumer demand.

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China's consumer price index rose 0.8 percent in the first two months of 2026, driven by a surge in spending during an extended Chinese New Year holiday. However, analysts remain concerned about long-term deflation risks.

アナリストらは、不安定な不動産市場やイラン戦争による原油ショックといった課題があるものの、中国の消費回復を主な牽引役として、2026年には世界の高級品セクターが加速的な成長を遂げると予測している。HSBC、ドイツ銀行、BNPパリバは、世界の売上高が5.5%から6%成長すると予測した。

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At a news conference in Beijing, Liu Jieyi, spokesman for the fourth session of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, stated that China will deepen high-level opening-up and accelerate free trade zone development to stabilize economic growth amid rising global uncertainties. He highlighted that China's economy demonstrated 'remarkable resilience and vitality' over the past year despite a complex external environment.

China's manufacturing powerhouse Guangdong has lowered its 2026 GDP growth target to 4.5%-5% after missing the previous year's goal. Governor Meng Fanli announced this during the opening of the Guangdong provincial people’s congress. The adjustment signals challenges from the property sector drag and global headwinds.

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中国の貿易実績は2026年初頭に予想を上回り、輸出が急増した。1月と2月の前年比成長率は21.8%に達し、前年の5.5%を大きく上回った。この急増は、世界的な需要の中で主要セクターによって推進された。

 

 

 

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