HDE consumer barometer hits lowest level since 2024

Germany's HDE consumer barometer dropped to 94.85 points in April, its lowest since February 2024. Consumers anticipate rising prices and interest rates, weighing on private spending. The plunge is linked to the Iran war and surging energy costs.

In Düsseldorf, Germany's HDE consumer barometer signals a sharp downturn in consumer sentiment. Calculated monthly by the Handelsblatt Research Institute for the Handelsverband HDE based on a survey of around 1600 households, the April reading of 94.85 points is the lowest since February 2024. Expectations for the business cycle and personal incomes have worsened.

Savings propensity is declining as households redirect funds to cover elevated energy costs. Consumers foresee increases in prices and interest rates, pressuring private consumption.

The mood shift stems from energy price surges triggered by the Iran war. Since late February, following attacks by the US and Israel on Iran, diesel prices have risen by about 50 cents per liter and super fuel by around 30 cents.

Liittyvät artikkelit

Illustration of rising fuel prices at a German gas station amid Iran war escalation, showing shocked drivers and political calls for intervention.
AI:n luoma kuva

Oil prices rise up to 14 percent due to Iran war

Raportoinut AI AI:n luoma kuva

The escalation of the Iran war is driving up oil prices and causing noticeable increases at German gas stations. Diesel now costs an average of 2.04 euros per liter, gasoline 1.94 euros. Politicians are calling for government interventions against rising fuel costs.

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index dropped to 47.6 in April, its lowest level on record, after falling 5.7 points from the previous month. The plunge, nearly 11 percent, was largely attributed to the outbreak of the Iran conflict, which fueled inflation fears. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose sharply to 4.8 percent from 3.8 percent in March.

Raportoinut AI

German exports declined by 2.3% in January compared to the previous month, following a 4.0% increase in December. Imports dropped even more sharply by 5.9%, which widened the trade surplus to €21.2 billion, the highest since the summer. This data contributes to a challenging beginning for the German economy in the new year.

One in four South Korean households spent more than their disposable income in the fourth quarter of 2025, pushing the share of deficit-running households to the highest level in six years, government data showed. The ratio reached 25 percent for the October-December period, the highest since the fourth quarter of 2019. Market analysts attributed this to prolonged high inflation straining household finances.

Raportoinut AI

South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

Global markets tumbled as US-Iran tensions and prolonged Israeli conflict drove oil prices higher. Asian shares and futures dipped, with investors preparing for extended fighting. The inflationary pressures have reduced expectations for central bank rate cuts.

Raportoinut AI

Inflation expectations are increasing in US breakeven rates and eurozone swap rates, influenced by recent statements from President Trump. Oil prices have stabilized alongside reduced anxiety in risk assets, yet concerns persist over widening spreads. Analysts highlight these trends as problematic amid ongoing economic conflicts.

 

 

 

Tämä verkkosivusto käyttää evästeitä

Käytämme evästeitä analyysiä varten parantaaksemme sivustoamme. Lue tietosuojakäytäntömme tietosuojakäytäntö lisätietoja varten.
Hylkää