Fear of migration wave to Europe from Iran war

The war in Iran raises concerns about a potential migration wave to Europe. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called for preventing uncontrolled movements from Iran, while international organizations warn of a humanitarian emergency. Despite 100,000 departures from Tehran, no wave has been observed at borders yet.

Fighting in Iran continues, with strikes hitting not only military infrastructure but also fuel depots, causing an 'oil rain' that affects the civilian population. The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) described the growing crisis in the Middle East as a major humanitarian emergency on Friday.

In its annual report on March 3, the European Union Agency for Asylum stated that the magnitude of the potential risk of a migration wave is significant. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz echoed this on March 6, saying: 'We must prevent uncontrolled migratory movements from Iran. We do not want to see the Syrian scenario repeated here.'

Iranian road police recorded 100,000 departures from Tehran during the first two days of strikes. However, neighboring countries have not yet reported any migration wave, though they would be the first affected.

These statements highlight European concerns amid the conflict's escalation, without confirming a massive movement so far.

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Illustration depicting EU shift to US jet fuel imports amid Iran war disruptions in Strait of Hormuz.
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EU drafts guidance to curb reliance on Middle East jet fuel as Iran war strains supply

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The European Union is preparing non-binding guidance urging member states to reduce reliance on Middle Eastern jet fuel and consider increasing imports from the United States, a source familiar with the plans told Reuters, as the Iran war continues to disrupt energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

US and Israeli attacks on Iran, including the killing of high-ranking leaders, raise concerns in Germany. A newsletter addresses reader questions on terror threats, energy prices, and military bases. Experts warn of potential escalation in the region.

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On the fifth day of the war in Iran, Tehran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has driven up oil and gas prices, affecting the global economy. European gas prices rose from 32 to 49 euros per MWh, while Brent crude climbed from 72 to 82 dollars per barrel. Europe, vulnerable due to its reliance on imports, faces heightened risks if the conflict drags on.

The German government has temporarily relocated the staff of its embassy in Tehran. The reason is the escalating threat situation due to ongoing US and Israeli attacks on Iran. The embassy's reachability remains ensured.

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Due to the war between the USA, Israel, and Iran, tens of thousands of travelers are stranded in the Middle East. The German government is organizing return flights, but affected individuals may have to contribute to the costs. Travel operators like Tui and Dertour promise to cover these costs if their customers use the flights.

The conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran has led to counterattacks endangering German soldiers in Jordan and Iraq as well as civilians in Dubai. More than 500 Bundeswehr soldiers are stationed in the region, and drone attacks occurred at two sites. In Dubai, residents were woken by rocket alerts.

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Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, sharply criticized the Iranian regime during a speech in Brussels. She defended the U.S.-led actions against Iran and highlighted the regime's repression of its people. Von der Leyen expressed solidarity with affected allies amid regional tensions.

 

 

 

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