Nifty bergulat dengan dead cat bounce di tengah kehati-hatian pasar

Pasar saham India ditutup lebih tinggi pada hari Jumat, didorong oleh sektor TI, otomotif, dan logam, meskipun saham perbankan membatasi kenaikan tersebut. Para analis, termasuk Sudeep Shah, mengungkapkan kehati-hatian akibat konflik di Asia Barat, tingginya harga minyak, dan terus berlanjutnya arus keluar FII. Nifty dan Bank Nifty menghadapi level resistance, dengan setiap pembalikan arah (pullback) justru memicu aksi jual.

Pasar saham India mengakhiri sesi perdagangan lebih tinggi pada hari Jumat, dengan keuntungan yang terutama didorong oleh sektor TI, otomotif, dan logam. Namun, saham perbankan membatasi kenaikan keseluruhan. Dalam ulasan F&O miliknya, Sudeep Shah menggambarkan Nifty sedang bergulat dengan 'sindrom dead cat bounce', di mana pembalikan harga secara konsisten memicu aksi jual, yang menunjukkan momentum pemulihan yang lemah. Nifty dan Bank Nifty saat ini menghadapi level resistance, di samping level support yang telah teridentifikasi. Shah memberikan rekomendasi terhadap beberapa saham termasuk Olectra, IDBI, dan empat lainnya. Kekhawatiran yang lebih luas mencakup konflik yang sedang berlangsung di Asia Barat, harga minyak yang tinggi, dan terus berlanjutnya arus keluar investor institusi asing (FII). Meskipun sektor TI, otomotif, dan logam berkontribusi pada kenaikan hari Jumat, para analis mencatat adanya kelemahan di sektor otomotif dan TI. Kata kunci yang terkait dengan analisis ini meliputi berita Nifty, Nifty50, berita pasar saham, Olectra, IDBI, berita F&O, otomotif, saham logam, Tata Consultancy Services, dan Sudeep Shah.

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Illustration of Middle East tensions causing stock market drops, oil price spikes, and investor flight to US dollar.
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Middle East conflict fuels global market volatility and oil price surge

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Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, involving the US, Israel, and Iran, have triggered a slide in Asian shares and a surge in oil prices. Investors are turning to the US dollar for safety amid fears of prolonged energy cost increases and inflation. While emerging markets face short-term losses, experts see long-term resilience.

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Indian stock markets staged a significant rebound on Wednesday, fueled by hopes for peace in West Asia and falling oil prices. The NSE Nifty and BSE Sensex climbed substantially during the day, though some gains moderated by the close. Sectoral indices ended higher across the board amid cautious investor sentiment.

India's benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty are poised for a weak start on March 13 amid ongoing Middle East conflict, with Brent crude hitting $100 per barrel. This follows earlier market turmoil from the West Asia crisis, including Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure.

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In early trade on Tuesday, the BSE Sensex rose 564.63 points to 82,790.45, while the NSE Nifty gained 167 points to 25,591.65. The rally was led by IT stocks including HCLTech, Infosys, and TCS, with both indices up over 0.5% as of 9:28 am.

Indian equity benchmarks Sensex and Nifty posted their strongest single-day gains in years on Wednesday, driven by a US-Iran ceasefire that eased oil prices and inflation fears. The market capitalization of BSE-listed companies rose by ₹16.1 lakh crore. However, Asian stocks turned cautious as the ceasefire showed signs of fragility.

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Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

 

 

 

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