Reserve Bank of India diprediksi akan mempertahankan suku bunga kebijakan

Mayoritas ekonom memperkirakan Reserve Bank of India akan menjaga suku bunga kebijakannya tetap tidak berubah pada pertemuan bulan Juni. Ketegangan geopolitik dan prakiraan cuaca buruk disebut sebagai faktor utama di balik keputusan yang diantisipasi tersebut.

Para ekonom yang disurvei oleh The Economic Times memprediksi bank sentral akan mempertahankan sikapnya saat ini di tengah risiko terhadap pertumbuhan dan potensi tekanan inflasi. Isu geopolitik dan prakiraan kondisi cuaca buruk dipandang sebagai ancaman yang dapat memengaruhi ekonomi serta mendorong kenaikan harga bahan bakar dan barang-barang lainnya.

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Banco de la República board unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25% in meeting with Finance Minister amid inflation and political tensions.
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Banco de la República unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25%, defying hike expectations amid government tensions

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In its May 1, 2026 board meeting, Banco de la República unanimously kept the benchmark interest rate at 11.25%, surprising analysts expecting a hike to combat accelerating inflation. Finance Minister Germán Ávila participated fully, citing constructive dialogue, while board members justified the decision to maintain stability amid political pressures.

Major banks have revised their forecasts for the Reserve Bank of India after recent softer inflation readings. Standard Chartered Bank has already dropped its call for an August rate increase. Most institutions now anticipate the central bank will stay on hold through FY27.

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The Reserve Bank of India has maintained its policy rate at 5.25 percent with a neutral stance while introducing steps to attract foreign capital.

Banking system liquidity has dropped to its lowest level this fiscal year, pushing up money market rates. Advanced tax outflows triggered the decline. The Reserve Bank of India is offering temporary support through variable rate repo operations.

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A panel has called on the Bank of Japan to proceed carefully with any interest rate increases.

The European Central Bank raised its key interest rate to 2.25 percent on June 11, 2026. It is the first hike since 2023. The ECB also lowered its growth forecast for the eurozone.

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Economy Minister Airlangga Hartarto and Investment Minister Rosan Roeslani urged state-owned banks not to rush in raising lending rates after Bank Indonesia lifted the benchmark rate to 5.75 percent.

 

 

 

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