Reserve Bank of India diprediksi akan mempertahankan suku bunga kebijakan

Mayoritas ekonom memperkirakan Reserve Bank of India akan menjaga suku bunga kebijakannya tetap tidak berubah pada pertemuan bulan Juni. Ketegangan geopolitik dan prakiraan cuaca buruk disebut sebagai faktor utama di balik keputusan yang diantisipasi tersebut.

Para ekonom yang disurvei oleh The Economic Times memprediksi bank sentral akan mempertahankan sikapnya saat ini di tengah risiko terhadap pertumbuhan dan potensi tekanan inflasi. Isu geopolitik dan prakiraan kondisi cuaca buruk dipandang sebagai ancaman yang dapat memengaruhi ekonomi serta mendorong kenaikan harga bahan bakar dan barang-barang lainnya.

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RBI headquarters with repo rate display amid West Asia conflict indicators, for monetary policy news illustration.
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RBI holds repo rate at 5.25% amid West Asia conflict

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The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday kept the key policy rate, the repo rate, unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Amid uncertainties from the West Asia conflict, the committee retained its neutral stance. It has lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for FY27.

The Reserve Bank of India has maintained its policy rate at 5.25 percent with a neutral stance while introducing steps to attract foreign capital.

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The Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee is expected to leave key interest rates unchanged at its meeting on Thursday.

India's 10-year benchmark bond yield rose 7 basis points to 6.94% on Friday, signaling concerns over inflation and potential monetary tightening. High Brent crude prices above $100 per barrel, driven by the West Asia conflict, have intensified fears, compounded by the rupee falling below 94 to the dollar.

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The Bank of Korea faces mounting pressure for monetary tightening after a spike in global oil prices triggered by Middle East conflict. Markets increasingly expect the benchmark rate to reach 3 percent by year-end.

Market expert Sunil Subramaniam has advised caution for investors amid geopolitical uncertainty and rising input costs. He highlighted consumer durables, capital goods and public sector banks as preferred sectors.

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The Indian rupee sank to a fresh record low against the US dollar, fueled by soaring energy import costs during an ongoing energy crisis and accelerating capital outflows. This has intensified pressure on the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to potentially hike interest rates, ending a pause in monetary tightening.

 

 

 

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