Dos Bocas refinery lifts Pemex refining to 11-year high

The Olmeca refinery in Dos Bocas has reached nearly 87% of its installed capacity, pushing Pemex's refining to its highest level in over a decade. Opened in 2022, this facility has overcome early hurdles to aid Mexico's fuel self-sufficiency. Yet, debates continue over high costs and environmental concerns.

After about three years of operations, the Dos Bocas refinery, known as Olmeca, is running nearly at full capacity, a milestone for Mexico's oil sector. This facility, the nation's largest, processes crude in the port of Dos Bocas, Tabasco, and has dealt with failed startups, power outages, and raw material shortages. Similar projects typically take six to nine months to hit full capacity, but Olmeca has progressed steadily since starting in 2022.

Lately, the refinery operated at 87% of its installed capacity, the highest yet. This boosted oil intake across Pemex's seven refineries to 1.35 million barrels daily last week, per a Bloomberg document, exceeding levels from over 11 years ago. President Claudia Sheinbaum noted in November that the plant works “superbien,” yielding almost 300,000 barrels daily of oil.

Still, the initiative has sparked controversies. By 2025, costs hit $20.959 billion, a 135% rise from the initial $8.9 billion budget, as reported by Julio Cesar Rentería Sandoval of the Mexican Institute of Chemical Engineers. In October, Paraíso residents in Tabasco complained of toxic gas pollution harming health, particularly near two adjacent schools. “Children in Paraíso and nearby communities are breathing every day not just that black smoke, but sometimes yellow smoke that's super toxic too,” said Juan Manuel Orozco, a local and Climate Connections official, in an interview.

This refining surge is vital for cutting gasoline imports in Mexico, Latin America's top buyer, and draws attention from U.S. Gulf Coast refineries.

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Pemex refinery scene with executives presenting rising fuel production and falling debt charts, symbolizing Mexico's energy success.
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Pemex announces rise in fuel production and debt reduction in 2025

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Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) reported a fifth consecutive year of rising gasoline production in 2025, reaching 511,000 barrels per day, during the presentation of its 2026 plan. The company also disclosed that its debt hit the lowest level in 11 years and clarified details on crude oil sales to Cuba. These developments are part of the Mexican government's energy sovereignty strategy.

The Dos Bocas refinery and the rehabilitation of the National Refining System boosted Pemex's production in 2025, covering 52.9% of the gasolinas commercialized and reducing imports to their lowest level in 16 years. For diesel, coverage reached 92% of domestic demand. This improvement marks the largest increase in four years for gasolinas and a decade for diesel.

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The Olmeca refinery in Dos Bocas, Tabasco, produced 83.1 thousand barrels per day of diesel in February, accounting for 27.85% of national output from Pemex's seven refineries. This contributed to cutting diesel imports to the lowest level in 17 years and starting exports. Diesel prices have risen in both Mexico and the United States.

President Claudia Sheinbaum denied that the Deer Park refinery, under Pemex control, is in poor condition, despite reports of 80 million dollars in losses in 2025. She stated that the plant is undergoing scheduled maintenance and is functioning well. She explained that such processes are routine in any factory.

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Following the December 17 announcement, Petróleos Mexicanos signed its first five mixed contracts on December 19, targeting modest boosts to oil and gas output. Expected to contribute 2% of national hydrocarbons from 2028-2030, they test a model for attracting larger future investments amid Pemex's challenges.

As the US-Israel-Iran conflict escalates following February 28 strikes and weekend retaliation—including the reported death of Ayatollah Khamenei—the Strait of Hormuz has closed, pushing oil prices to new highs and intensifying market volatility. Updated casualties exceed 740, while analysts predict inflation spikes and delayed rate cuts. Mexico sees sharp peso depreciation and stock plunges.

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On March 5, 2026—the sixth day of the US-Iran war that began with U.S. and Israeli strikes on February 28—the Mexican export oil blend hit $75.24 per barrel, its highest since July 2024. The conflict's blockage of the Strait of Hormuz drove a 7% daily rise, surpassing forecasts by 37%. Each extra dollar could bring Mexico billions in revenue, analysts say.

 

 

 

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