Indonesian businesspeople in Jakarta react with concern to rising oil prices and inflation risks from the Iran-Israel conflict fallout, as monitored by Bank Indonesia.
Indonesian businesspeople in Jakarta react with concern to rising oil prices and inflation risks from the Iran-Israel conflict fallout, as monitored by Bank Indonesia.
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Indonesian Businesses Brace for Iran-Israel Conflict Fallout

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Following US-Israeli strikes on Iran—detailed in prior coverage—that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and escalated Middle East tensions with oil and gold surges, Indonesian businesses are implementing short-term risk mitigations amid rising costs, while Bank Indonesia monitors inflation risks.

Iran's retaliation and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude up 7.14% to $78.07 per barrel and gold 1.77% to $5,368.15 per troy ounce as of March 3, 2026, with Asian stocks declining.

Apindo Chair Shinta W. Kamdani described a 'wait and see but prepared' stance, with businesses adjusting costs, improving efficiency, managing forex exposure, and diversifying supplies. She urged government action on energy/food stability and an independent foreign policy.

Market observer Reydi Octa noted selective buying of energy/commodity stocks benefiting from higher oil prices, though the IHSG fell due to foreign outflows and a weakening rupiah.

Bank Indonesia Deputy Governor Aida S. Budiman highlighted inflation monitoring (February at 4.76% yoy), focusing on oil, gold, and food prices, while committing to exchange rate and inflation stability. Asia-Pacific markets dropped: Kospi -2%, Nikkei 225 -0.42%, S&P/ASX 200 -0.57%.

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Indonesian X users and analysts discuss economic fallout from US-Israeli strikes on Iran killing Khamenei, emphasizing oil and gold price surges, inflation risks under Bank Indonesia watch, business risk mitigations, export disruptions, rupiah weakening, and APBN pressures; sentiments range from cautious warnings to urgent calls for fiscal resilience.

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Illustration depicting Middle East conflict-induced oil price surge weakening Indonesia's rupiah and stocks, amid government fuel price stability pledge.
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Middle East conflict triggers oil price surge and economic pressure on Indonesia

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Escalation of conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran in the Middle East has driven global oil prices above US$100 per barrel, weakening the rupiah to Rp17,000 and sharply dropping the IHSG. The Indonesian government asserts the domestic economy remains in expansion despite risks of inflation and layoffs. Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia guarantees no increase in subsidized fuel prices until Eid.

In the wake of US-Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei—detailed in prior coverage of crypto market volatility—gold prices rose 2% while oil surged over 7%, reflecting safe-haven demand amid escalating Middle East tensions.

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Global markets tumbled as US-Iran tensions and prolonged Israeli conflict drove oil prices higher. Asian shares and futures dipped, with investors preparing for extended fighting. The inflationary pressures have reduced expectations for central bank rate cuts.

The price of Brent Crude Oil has risen to nearly 84 dollars per barrel amid ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This surge marks the highest level since July 2024 and raises concerns about potential supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts warn that the escalation could compound global inflation risks.

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The ongoing war between Iran and Israel has intensified, with missile exchanges and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupting global oil supplies. Oil prices have surged above $100 per barrel, fueling market declines and inflation fears worldwide. Governments are responding with measures to stabilize energy markets amid concerns over prolonged conflict.

As the U.S.-Israel Operation Epic Fury against Iran's leadership expands—with Iranian retaliation, Hezbollah, and Houthi involvement—the conflict's fallout intensifies for South Korea. Stocks plunged further Wednesday, oil prices rose amid Strait of Hormuz threats, and policymakers urge preparations for prolonged instability, building on prior evacuations and stabilization measures.

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One day after US and Israeli attacks on Iran ignited oil price fears, the confirmed death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Tehran's retaliatory strikes have driven prices up as much as 13%—the largest jump in four years—amid fears of Strait of Hormuz disruptions, which carry 20% of global crude. OPEC+ ramps up output, while Mexico's peso weakens against the dollar.

 

 

 

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