Indonesian businesspeople in Jakarta react with concern to rising oil prices and inflation risks from the Iran-Israel conflict fallout, as monitored by Bank Indonesia.
Indonesian businesspeople in Jakarta react with concern to rising oil prices and inflation risks from the Iran-Israel conflict fallout, as monitored by Bank Indonesia.
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Indonesian Businesses Brace for Iran-Israel Conflict Fallout

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Following US-Israeli strikes on Iran—detailed in prior coverage—that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and escalated Middle East tensions with oil and gold surges, Indonesian businesses are implementing short-term risk mitigations amid rising costs, while Bank Indonesia monitors inflation risks.

Iran's retaliation and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude up 7.14% to $78.07 per barrel and gold 1.77% to $5,368.15 per troy ounce as of March 3, 2026, with Asian stocks declining.

Apindo Chair Shinta W. Kamdani described a 'wait and see but prepared' stance, with businesses adjusting costs, improving efficiency, managing forex exposure, and diversifying supplies. She urged government action on energy/food stability and an independent foreign policy.

Market observer Reydi Octa noted selective buying of energy/commodity stocks benefiting from higher oil prices, though the IHSG fell due to foreign outflows and a weakening rupiah.

Bank Indonesia Deputy Governor Aida S. Budiman highlighted inflation monitoring (February at 4.76% yoy), focusing on oil, gold, and food prices, while committing to exchange rate and inflation stability. Asia-Pacific markets dropped: Kospi -2%, Nikkei 225 -0.42%, S&P/ASX 200 -0.57%.

Vad folk säger

Indonesian X users and analysts discuss economic fallout from US-Israeli strikes on Iran killing Khamenei, emphasizing oil and gold price surges, inflation risks under Bank Indonesia watch, business risk mitigations, export disruptions, rupiah weakening, and APBN pressures; sentiments range from cautious warnings to urgent calls for fiscal resilience.

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USA-Israel attacker mot Iran: Guld och olja stiger medan aktier faller

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Efter USA-israeliska attacker mot Iran som dödade högste ledaren ayatolla Ali Khamenei —detaljerat i tidigare rapportering om volatilitet på kryptovalutamarknaden— steg guldpriserna 2 procent medan oljan steg över 7 procent, vilket speglar efterfrågan på säkra tillgångar mitt i eskalerande spänningar i Mellanöstern.

The US and Israeli strikes on Iran, which killed supreme leader Ali Khamenei, have led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and a surge in oil and gold prices. This escalation is threatening South Africa's inflation control efforts and interest rate cuts. While higher oil prices pose risks, rising gold prices offer some economic benefits.

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Efter USA:s och Israels attacker mot Iran som dödade högste ledaren Ali Khamenei och orsakade störningar i Hormuzsundet steg oljepriserna nästan 8% mitt i pågående spänningar. Indiska marknader förlorade Rs 6,35 lakh crore på tisdagen, med rupien som försvagades på grund av försörjningsoro. Globalt stärktes dollarn som säker hamn medan yen och euro försvagades.

The United States and Israel launched military strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, prompting President Donald Trump to announce major combat operations aimed at preventing nuclear weapon acquisition. Bitcoin fell approximately 7% to around $63,000, while the broader crypto market lost over $70 billion in value amid heavy liquidations. Tokenized gold assets surged as investors sought safe havens amid escalating Middle East tensions.

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Following initial US and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, weekend attacks reportedly killed Ayatollah Ali Jamenei, prompting Iran's Revolutionary Guard to threaten closing the Strait of Hormuz. Mexico's export mix hit $66.63 per barrel on March 2—the highest in seven months—as global markets reacted with risk aversion; Mexico activated a gasoline price contingency plan.

Tokyo stocks declined for a third consecutive day as tensions escalated in the Middle East over Iran. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda warned of significant potential impacts on the economy, while the government stated there would be no immediate disruptions to oil supplies.

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The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) opened up 39.71 points or 0.44 percent to 9,072.29 on Thursday morning, amid market concerns over threats to the independence of the US Federal Reserve due to President Donald Trump's attacks on Chairman Jerome Powell. These worries are reinforced by Producer Price Index (PPI) data showing price pressures, potentially leading the Fed to hold or raise interest rates. However, analysts view this strength as a signal of an investment shift toward a supercycle supporting Indonesia's stock market throughout 2026.

 

 

 

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