No supply disruptions from Middle East war observed in France

The office of Minister Delegate for Industry Sébastien Martin stated no supply disruptions linked to the Middle East war have been observed in France, following a meeting with economic actors. Authorities urge vigilance amid tensions on raw material and energy prices. European gas prices surged over 24% after an Iranian attack on Qatar's Ras Laffan site.

On March 19, 2026, following a meeting at the Ministry of Economy in Bercy, the office of Sébastien Martin, Minister Delegate for Industry, stated that « no supply disruptions have been observed » linked to the Middle East war. Employer organizations (Medef, CPME, France Industrie, UIMM) and sector federations (FEBEA, A3M, GIFAS, France Chimie), along with companies like Suez, Novo Nordisk, Safran, Aluminium France, Eramet, LVMH, and Alstom, attended to assess industrial impacts in France. One participant described « a real sense of calm » among industries, « no panic, companies are rather serene but vigilant ». Fabrice Le Saché, Medef vice-president, mentioned « worry, but no panic », noting the « protracted conflict » differs from the Ukraine crisis by its global scope. Meanwhile, energy markets reacted sharply: European gas (Dutch TTF) jumped over 24%, reaching 67.85 euros per megawatt-hour, after Iranian strikes on Qatar's Ras Laffan complex, causing « considerable damages » per QatarEnergy. The Strait of Hormuz, handling 20% of world gas, is paralyzed. Bercy emphasizes accelerating electrification, securing critical inputs, and a European competitiveness agenda, promising ongoing dialogue with industries.

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Illustration of Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade during war, driving up global oil and gas prices and threatening Europe's energy supply.
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War in Iran causes surge in energy prices

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On the fifth day of the war in Iran, Tehran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has driven up oil and gas prices, affecting the global economy. European gas prices rose from 32 to 49 euros per MWh, while Brent crude climbed from 72 to 82 dollars per barrel. Europe, vulnerable due to its reliance on imports, faces heightened risks if the conflict drags on.

Shortages have not yet appeared but price increases are mounting for French companies because of the Middle East conflict that began more than two months ago.

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Following TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné's stark warning of impending energy shortages, other French business leaders like LVMH's Bernard Arnault and Saint-Gobain's Benoit Bazin express growing alarm over the economic fallout from two months of US-Iran conflict and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. President Macron seeks to reassure, but concerns mount.

Escalation of conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has led Iran to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, halting tanker traffic and driving global oil prices above US$80 per barrel. The effects extend to Europe, which is now reconsidering plans to end Russian gas imports, while Indonesia pushes for de-escalation via the D-8 organization and assures stable fuel supplies.

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South Africa faces acute fuel supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure, despite government assurances of no crisis. Local shortages have emerged, while price increases loom for April. Agricultural harvests risk lower yields due to diesel limits.

イランによるホルムズ海峡封鎖から2週間が経過し、原油価格は1バレル100ドルを超え、天然ガスのコストも上昇した。ホルムズ海峡を通過する燃料の主な供給先であるアジアは、深刻な脆弱性に直面している。

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In Washington, French Economy Minister Roland Lescure stated that Paris refuses to pay to cross the Strait of Ormuz and that Russia must not benefit from it. Accompanied by the Bank of France governor, he is attending G7, G20, and IMF meetings on the war in Iran's economic impact. He also mentioned readiness to release oil stocks if needed.

 

 

 

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