A national survey by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace reveals that 47% of Americans believe China has already surpassed the US or will do so within the next five years. Another 27% think the shift will take longer, while 26% say China will never catch up. The poll was conducted from November 24 to December 1.
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a Washington-based think tank, released the results of a national poll earlier this month to gauge public views on global power and influence. The survey involved 1,500 American adults.
Respondents were split on whether China will overtake the US. Forty-seven percent agreed that China has already surpassed the United States or would do so within the next five years, 27% said the shift would take longer, and only 26% believed China would never catch up.
When asked in which areas China outperforms the US, 63% pointed to technology—a view shared by 74% of Democrats, 62% of independents, and 52% of Republicans.
This poll highlights American perceptions of China's rising global influence, particularly in technological competition. The endowment used the survey as a thermometer for public sentiment on US-China dynamics.
