IMF warns of risks from high defence spending

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned in a new analysis that high defence spending poses risks despite growth impulses. In Germany, Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil (SPD) plans about 83 billion euros for defence this year. Worldwide, roughly half of all countries have raised their military budgets over the past five years.

Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil (SPD) will meet counterparts at the IMF's spring meeting in Washington next week. About a year ago, the Bundestag loosened the debt brake to allow more borrowing for armament spending. Klingbeil has elevated the defence budget to the second-largest item in the federal budget – from 47 billion euros five years ago to 83 billion now.

The IMF analysis, published on Wednesday, examines whether rising state spending on rearmament can boost economic growth. The fund confirms positive effects but warns of negative side effects already emerging – including in Germany.

Amid geopolitical tensions, the IMF expects the spending trend to continue. Roughly half of all countries have increased their military budgets over the past five years.

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Dramatic split-image depicting Middle East oil conflict impacting Spain's economy with declining IMF growth forecasts and housing policy recommendations.
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IMF cuts Spain's growth forecast to 2.1% due to Iran war

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The International Monetary Fund has cut its growth forecast for Spain's economy by two tenths, to 2.1% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027, due to the Middle East conflict. The organization attributes the adjustment mainly to rising oil and gas prices. It recommends eliminating rent controls and taking stronger action on housing.

Germany's Bundestag budget committee is deciding today on defense projects worth over 50 billion euros. Defense Minister Boris Pistorius highlights planning certainty for industry, while Greens politician Sahra Nanni criticizes the short processing time.

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중국은 목요일 2026년 국방 지출 7% 증가를 발표했다. 이는 5년 만에 가장 낮은 증가율이지만 지역 긴장 고조 속에서 경제 성장 목표를 여전히 초과한다. 이 조치는 2035년 군사 현대화를 뒷받침하며 대만에 대한 언급이 포함됐다. 리창 총리는 전투 준비태세 개선을 강조했다.

Fuel prices in Germany have risen sharply due to the Iran war. Federal Economics Minister Katherina Reiche has announced a cartel law investigation into the price surges. Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil warns oil companies of consequences if they exploit the situation.

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Deutscher Städtetag president Burkhard Jung demands €30 billion annual immediate aid from the federal government for municipalities starting no later than 2027. He described the financial situation as catastrophic, with deficits exceeding €30 billion in recent years. Causes include rising social spending and declining revenues.

The International Monetary Fund has reached a staff-level agreement with Ethiopia on the fourth review of its $3.4 billion Extended Credit Facility arrangement. This agreement paves the way for a $261 million disbursement, bringing total financial assistance to $2.13 billion. The IMF urged continued forex reforms and fiscal discipline to support economic stability.

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국제통화기금(IMF)은 중국의 2026년 성장 전망을 4.5%로 상향 조정했다. 이는 10월 전망치보다 0.3%p 높은 수준으로, 무역 긴장 완화와 지속적인 국내 정책 지원 덕분이다. 중국의 2025년 성장 전망도 0.2%p 상향된 5%로 조정됐다. 이러한 변화는 경기 부양 조치와 투자 목적의 정책 은행 추가 대출을 반영한 것이다.

 

 

 

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