Olmeca refinery in Dos Bocas produces 27.85% of Mexico's diesel in February

The Olmeca refinery in Dos Bocas, Tabasco, produced 83.1 thousand barrels per day of diesel in February, accounting for 27.85% of national output from Pemex's seven refineries. This contributed to cutting diesel imports to the lowest level in 17 years and starting exports. Diesel prices have risen in both Mexico and the United States.

The Olmeca refinery, located in Puerto de Dos Bocas, Tabasco, reached 83.1 thousand barrels per day of diesel production in February, according to Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) data. This accounted for 27.85% of the 298 thousand barrels daily from the National Refining System (SNR). In one year, it went from zero contribution to over a quarter of the national total.

Diesel imports dropped to 34.5 thousand barrels per day, from 93.1 thousand in February last year, the lowest in 17 years. Pemex's spending fell from $255.2 million to $87.9 million. Pemex also exported 60.2 thousand barrels daily for $154.7 million, compared to zero the previous year.

Diesel makes up 45.84% of Olmeca's output, ahead of gasolines at 37.6%. Cadereyta refinery in Nuevo León ranked second with 53.7 thousand barrels daily (17.98%), followed by Tula, Hidalgo (15.08%), Minatitlán, Veracruz (11.5%), Madero, Tamaulipas (10.35%), Salina Cruz, Oaxaca (8.8%), and Salamanca, Guanajuato (8.4%).

Amid this, U.S. diesel prices rose to $5.4 per gallon, up 44% since late February before the Middle East conflict, per the AAA. In Mexico, prices increased 9.6% in one month, from 26.2 to 28.7 pesos per liter, narrowing the gap with the U.S. from 50% to 10.5%.

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Illustration of a Mexican gas station with high fuel prices over 30 pesos per liter, peso at 18 to the dollar, and news of limited US-Iran conflict impact.
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Treasury predicts limited impact on gasoline from US-Iran conflict

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Hacienda Secretary Édgar Amador estimated that the effects of the US-Iran conflict on fuel prices in Mexico will be short-lived, due to existing fiscal mechanisms. Meanwhile, premium gasoline and diesel exceed 30 pesos per liter in some stations, and the Mexican peso depreciates toward 18 units per dollar.

The Mexican export blend price hit 99.21 dollars per barrel, its highest in over three years and eight months, driven by Middle East tensions. This exceeds the SHCP's 2026 forecast by 80.7%. Fuel prices in Mexico rose moderately, with diesel most affected.

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Gas stations in Mexico are operating on tight margins of 70 cents per liter in diesel sales due to the federal government's price cap.

Following initial US and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, weekend attacks reportedly killed Ayatollah Ali Jamenei, prompting Iran's Revolutionary Guard to threaten closing the Strait of Hormuz. Mexico's export mix hit $66.63 per barrel on March 2—the highest in seven months—as global markets reacted with risk aversion; Mexico activated a gasoline price contingency plan.

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On March 5, 2026—the sixth day of the US-Iran war that began with U.S. and Israeli strikes on February 28—the Mexican export oil blend hit $75.24 per barrel, its highest since July 2024. The conflict's blockage of the Strait of Hormuz drove a 7% daily rise, surpassing forecasts by 37%. Each extra dollar could bring Mexico billions in revenue, analysts say.

석유 기업들이 4월 7일부로 대규모 유가 인상을 단행함에 따라 일부 지역의 디젤 가격이 리터당 140페소에서 150페소를 넘어섰다. 이번 인상은 중동 분쟁으로 인한 국제 원유 시장의 변동성에 따른 결과이다. 단계적인 조정에도 불구하고 이번 가격은 역대 최고치를 기록했다.

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필리핀 에너지부 추산에 따르면 이번 주 필리핀의 연료 가격은 하락세를 보일 것으로 예상되나 그 폭은 작을 전망입니다. 디젤은 리터당 8~10페소, 휘발유는 리터당 약 0.40페소 하락하거나 최대 1페소까지 상승할 수 있으며, 등유는 리터당 11페소 하락할 것으로 보입니다.

 

 

 

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