Galípolo urges caution on interest rates amid Iran war

Banco Central president Gabriel Galípolo called for caution in Brazil's interest rate policy on Monday amid global uncertainties from the Iran war. Speaking at a seminar in Rio de Janeiro, he stressed taking safer steps to address inflation pressures. Former BC president Arminio Fraga criticized the government's fiscal policy for not supporting the central bank.

Gabriel Galípolo, Banco Central president, opened a monetary policy seminar hosted by FGV Ibre in Rio de Janeiro on Monday. He defended the institution's caution in steering interest rates, influenced by the Iran war's impacts, which raised oil prices and inflation forecasts.

"I think I've used the word caution more times since joining the Banco Central than in my entire life before. But at the Banco Central, caution comes with serenity. It's never alone," Galípolo said. He added that the aim is to "take time to better understand the problem and make safer moves".

In March, the Copom cut the Selic rate to 14.75% per year after signs of easing inflation. The BC's Focus bulletin showed market projections for 2026 IPCA rising from 4.31% to 4.36%, nearing the 4.5% target ceiling.

After the event, former BC president Arminio Fraga criticized the Lula government's fiscal policy. "What's missing is a fiscal policy that eases the Banco Central's job a bit, and we haven't had that for a while," he said. He attended the same seminar and noted that weak fiscal policy undermines inflation control.

Makala yanayohusiana

Brazil's Copom committee cuts Selic rate amid Middle East war-driven oil price spike.
Picha iliyoundwa na AI

Copom cuts Selic from 15% to 14.75% amid war uncertainties

Imeripotiwa na AI Picha iliyoundwa na AI

Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) cut the Selic rate by 0.25 percentage points, from 15% to 14.75% per year, on Wednesday (18). The unanimous decision, the first under Gabriel Galípolo's management, comes despite the escalation of the Middle East conflict, which pushed oil prices above US$ 100 per barrel. The statement stresses caution due to uncertainty over the duration of the war involving the United States, Israel, and Iran.

Brazil's Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) cut the Selic rate by 0.25 percentage points to 14.5% per year in a unanimous decision on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. The committee adopted a cautious tone due to inflationary risks and external uncertainties, particularly Middle East conflicts. Analysts had expected the move and condition further cuts on new data.

Imeripotiwa na AI

Banco de la República codirector César Giraldo said raising interest rates is no longer effective against current inflation, which is driven by external factors like oil and weather.

Mexico's central bank cut its benchmark rate to 6.75% in a split decision, as global markets closed lower amid the US-Iran war. The BMV fell 1.65%, and the peso depreciated 1% against the dollar. Oil prices rose due to the Strait of Hormuz closure.

Imeripotiwa na AI

Argentina's Central Bank (BCRA) decided to cut bank reserve requirements by five percentage points starting in April, freeing up liquidity for banks to issue more loans amid recession. Led by Santiago Bausili, the move aims to revive economic activity without derailing inflation control. Analysts note the shift to a more expansionary policy after months of monetary contraction.

President Javier Milei closed the AmCham Summit 2026 defending fiscal and monetary adjustment amid March's 3.4% inflation. He attributed the rise to transitory factors like last year's shocks and promised that 'inflation is going to collapse'. He firmly rejected accepting more inflation to boost growth, calling it 'trash'.

Imeripotiwa na AI

Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the central bank is in “wait and watch mode” amid uncertainties from the West Asia war, with second-round effects being the real concern. In a speech at Princeton University on April 18, he stressed preventing supply shocks from embedding in price levels through inflation expectations rather than demand compression. He highlighted India’s significant exposure to the region.

 

 

 

Tovuti hii inatumia vidakuzi

Tunatumia vidakuzi kwa uchambuzi ili kuboresha tovuti yetu. Soma sera ya faragha yetu kwa maelezo zaidi.
Kataa