Ávila hosts rate forum sans Villar, pegs hike cost at $1.8T debt interest

In the latest clash amid tensions with Banco de la República over rate hikes, Colombia's Finance Minister Germán Ávila held a monetary policy forum without central bank Governor Leonardo Villar—who declined over timing concerns—and slammed the recent 200 basis-point increase for curbing 2026 growth to 2.6% while boosting public debt interest by $1.8 trillion.

The Ministry of Finance's forum at the Centro Cultural Gabriel García Márquez on April 21 followed Ávila's walkout from the central bank's March 31 board meeting and a heated April 15 oversight debate with Villar.

Villar cited 'considerations about its timing and the context' in declining Ávila's invitation. The minister, a vocal critic of the rate-hiking cycle, estimated the 200 basis-point move—bringing rates to 11.25%—would shave 0.36 points off 2026 GDP growth, from 2.9% to 2.6%. 'We are dissatisfied... 2.6% is insufficient,' Ávila said, adding it would raise debt interest payments by $1.8 trillion.

Challenging the bank's decisions, Ávila questioned if economics is an 'exact or social science' and noted the political weight of monetary policy. Guests included Daniela Gabor (University of London), former Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa, Isabella Weber (University of Massachusetts Amherst), and Matías Vernengo (Bucknell University).

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Dramatic illustration of Colombia's central bank boardroom tension as Finance Minister walks out amid 11.25% rate hike vote.
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Colombia's central bank raises rate to 11.25% in second 2026 hike amid government walkout

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Following its January hike to 10.25%, Colombia's Banco de la República raised its intervention rate by another 100 basis points to 11.25% in a tight 4-3 vote during its second meeting of the year. Finance Minister Germán Ávila walked out of the board meeting and announced the government's withdrawal from the central bank over disagreements. President Gustavo Petro backed the move and criticized the monetary policy.

Leonardo Villar, general manager of Banco de la República, and Germán Ávila, finance minister, clashed in a political oversight debate on the fiscal impact of recent interest rate hikes. Villar defended the bank's autonomy and criticized government discrediting. Ávila responded by highlighting his guerrilla past and questioning Colombia's rate increases compared to other countries.

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Leonardo Villar, manager of Banco de la República, stated the April board meeting cannot proceed if Finance Minister Germán Ávila does not attend. He warned such absence would pressure the central bank's autonomy following a recent disagreement. Villar expressed confidence that common sense will prevail.

The Autonomous Fiscal Council warned Tuesday about the effects of the additional borrowing project for US$6.200 million. Gross debt would reach up to 43.6% of GDP in 2026.

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President Javier Milei closed the AmCham Summit 2026 defending fiscal and monetary adjustment amid March's 3.4% inflation. He attributed the rise to transitory factors like last year's shocks and promised that 'inflation is going to collapse'. He firmly rejected accepting more inflation to boost growth, calling it 'trash'.

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