Government expands diesel and cooking gas subsidies

The Brazilian government announced on Monday (6) extra subsidies for diesel and cooking gas, plus zeroing PIS/Cofins on biodiesel and aviation kerosene. The measures aim to curb the war in Iran's impact on fuel prices. The total estimated cost is R$ 31 billion, offset by an oil export tax.

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's government raised the diesel subsidy for national production by R$ 0.80 per liter to R$ 1.12 total, and for imports by R$ 1.20 to R$ 1.52. The initial duration is two months, extendable by another two, costing around R$ 10 billion. "The fiscal target is maintained," said Finance Minister Dario Durigan, noting offsets from the oil export tax.

Imported cooking gas (GLP) will receive R$ 850 per ton, about R$ 11 per 13 kg cylinder, costing R$ 330 million over two months. For aviation, zeroing PIS/Cofins on kerosene (QAV) cuts R$ 0.07 per liter, with credit lines of R$ 1 billion for working capital and R$ 7.5 billion for restructuring via BNDES.

The measures come via provisional measure and decrees, plus a bill to criminalize abusive price hikes with two-to-five-year prison terms. Planning Minister Bruno Moretti stressed distributor adherence, while Mines and Energy Minister Alexandre Silveira announced expanded ANP powers to shut abusive stations.

Distributors like Vibra, Ipiranga, and Raízen have not fully joined the initial subsidy, but the government anticipates better participation under new rules.

Makala yanayohusiana

Brazilian government officials, including President Lula, discuss diesel subsidy tweaks in a conference room amid charts of fuel price surges.
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Government discusses diesel subsidy adjustments after low initial adherence

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Brazil's ANP released on Thursday (2) a list of five companies that joined the first phase of the diesel subsidy program, excluding major distributors Vibra, Ipiranga, and Raízen. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's government is discussing technical adjustments to attract them, as they handle half of private imports. The program aims to cushion the war in Iran's effects on fuel prices.

The federal government and states announced on March 31 an agreement to subsidize imported diesel by R$ 1.20 per liter, split equally between the Union and states, to mitigate the impact of the Iran war on fuel prices. The measure is emergency and limited to up to two months, with voluntary adherence. More than 80% of states have signaled interest in participating.

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Brazil's average diesel price to distributors climbed 40% in early March to R$ 5.36 per liter following intensified US and Israeli attacks on Iran, per ANP data. Pump prices rose 20% by late March. Building on the March 12 federal tax exemption, the Lula administration is pressuring fuel stakeholders to limit consumer pass-throughs and fast-tracking a diesel subsidy ahead of October elections.

Following notifications to major fuel distributors, the Advocacia-Geral da União (AGU) issued an urgent request to the National Consumer Secretariat (Senacon) for reports on disproportionate price hikes. This escalates efforts amid inspections since March 9 that hit three of four top distributors, with a new government task force now monitoring the market.

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Global crude oil prices have surpassed 115 USD per barrel, triggered by escalation in the Iran-AS-Israel war and Houthi threats. Economists warn of fiscal risks for Indonesia, including rupiah weakening to Rp17,002 per USD and potential APBN deficit. Pertamina denies rumors of non-subsidy fuel price hikes starting April 1, 2026.

Ethiopia's Ministry of Trade and Regional Integration has raised fuel prices effective April 1, 2026, with white diesel increasing by 16.6% to 163.09 birr per liter. The move comes as the fuel subsidy burden reaches nearly 272 billion birr. Officials cite global oil market disruptions from Middle East conflicts.

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