Minvivienda urges contingency plans over El Niño risk

The Ministry of Housing urged local authorities and service operators to prepare emergency measures ahead of the likely arrival of the El Niño phenomenon in the second half of the year.

The Ministry of Housing issued the call on May 27 to governors, mayors, departmental water plans, public service providers and community managers. The request aims to mitigate risks of water shortages and other effects of the phenomenon.

According to Ideam and the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the probability of El Niño occurrence for the May-July quarter stands at 61 percent and could reach moderate or higher intensity by year end. Equatorial Pacific temperatures already exceed historical averages.

The ministry recalled prior impacts. Between 2014 and 2016 water rationing occurred in 296 municipalities and shortages affected 237 municipalities across 25 departments. In 2023-2024 more than 270 municipalities faced similar problems and the government declared a disaster situation due to low reservoir and river levels on the Magdalena and Cauca.

Requested measures include updating risk management plans, monitoring flows, identifying alternate supply sources and prioritizing delivery to hospitals, schools and health centers.

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Colombian officials presenting energy roadmap for El Niño preparedness with maps and infrastructure visuals
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Colombia activates roadmap with 50 actions for El Niño

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The Ministry of Mines and Energy presented a strategy with 50 actions to strengthen the energy system ahead of the El Niño phenomenon expected in the second half of 2026.

Colombia's Procuraduría General de la Nación issued Circular 001 of 2026, directing public entities to activate urgent measures against the impending El Niño phenomenon expected late in 2026. The directive warns of disciplinary sanctions for non-compliance and stresses preparations for water shortages, energy issues, and fires. Regions like Huila face heightened vulnerability.

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Energy Minister Edwin Palma Egea warned of an imminent risk to electricity supply due to the El Niño phenomenon. In a circular sent on May 14, 2026, to the CREG, he called for urgent regulatory adjustments.

A desalination plant in Cordova town has started operations to provide additional water to the Metropolitan Cebu Water District as El Niño threatens supply.

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A report from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center states that the rains marking early 2026 in Colombia will continue at least until April, driven by La Niña's shift to a neutral phase. Experts warn of precipitation 41.6% more intense than in March 2025, per Ideam. In the second half of the year, there is a 50-60% chance of El Niño returning, potentially decreasing rains and raising temperatures.

Ideam reported a generalized rise in maximum temperatures during the first week of May, with values near or above historical records in several regions of the country.

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Trade groups Andeg and Fenalcarbón stressed the need for long-term contracts and coal-fired thermal plants as backup for Colombia's power grid, with El Niño likely in the second half of 2026. Alejandro Castañeda, Andeg president, and Carlos Cante, from Fenalcarbón, warned of growing energy deficits and climate vulnerabilities.

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