Can Beijing count on Taiwan’s KMT for reunification?

Taiwan’s Kuomintang (KMT) new chairwoman Cheng Li-wun has adopted a mainland-friendly tone, but whether she can meet Beijing’s hopes remains to be seen. Xi Jinping made a rare call for joint efforts to promote reunification. Analysts see her victory as a new opportunity for Beijing.

Taiwan’s Kuomintang (KMT) recently elected Cheng Li-wun as its new chairwoman, emerging with a strong Chinese identity and vows to promote cross-strait reconciliation, in sharp contrast to the stance of Taiwan’s ruling, independence-leaning Democratic Progressive Party (DPP).

Following Cheng’s election, Xi Jinping made a rare gesture, calling for a joint effort to promote reunification, going beyond the usual general wording about cross-strait relations. Analysts believe Beijing sees a new opportunity in her victory to advance reunification plans.

Cheng is expected to visit the Chinese mainland soon, where she is likely to meet Xi, following the precedent set by her two predecessors. In recent months, Beijing has launched a series of initiatives aimed at swaying Taiwanese public opinion, and its latest five-year plan reiterated that reunification is a national goal.

Yet challenges loom for Cheng, the KMT’s second female leader and an unconventional figure expected to shake up the 100-year-old party. She already faces internal resistance, pressure from upcoming local elections, and the delicate task of navigating ties with both Beijing and Washington.

Beijing has intensified outreach to Taiwan’s opposition parties in recent years to counter DPP influence, but whether Cheng can fulfill these expectations while managing party dynamics remains uncertain.

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Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi celebrates ruling coalition's election win amid subtle militarism symbols.
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Japanese ruling coalition wins election amid militarism concerns

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Japan's House of Representatives election on February 9 resulted in a victory for the ruling coalition, with the Liberal Democratic Party securing 316 seats and the coalition totaling 352. Incumbent Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is expected to be re-elected on February 18. Experts warn that this could accelerate Japan's military expansion and strain China-Japan relations.

Mainland China's top Taiwan affairs official vowed in a new year's message to show utmost sincerity in pursuing peaceful reunification with Taiwan, but never tolerate any form of 'Taiwan independence' separatist activities. The statement came days after a large-scale PLA drill around the island.

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Taiwanese leader William Lai made a rare reference to 'mainland China' during the Spring Festival, drawing attention from analysts. They attribute it to pressure from Washington ahead of Donald Trump's upcoming summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, where Taiwan is expected to be a key topic.

The diplomatic spat between Japan and China shows no signs of an immediate resolution, even as the leader of Japan's Komeito party engages in ongoing talks with Chinese officials. Tetsuo Saito, head of the former ruling coalition partner, has met in person and held multiple phone calls with China's ambassador since Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks on Taiwan sparked the standoff. Saito expressed hope for a forthcoming visit to China.

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Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee Ka-chiu praised the city's delegates to China’s top political advisory body as a “steadfast patriotic force” while hosting vice-chairman Jiang Zuojun of its 14th National Committee at Government House.

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) achieved a landslide victory in the general election by attracting supporters from a far-right party, which an expert suggests could foster deeper cooperation between Seoul and Tokyo. Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the LDP secured 316 seats in the lower house, more than doubling its previous 198. Yet concerns persist over historical grievances and a potential hard-line security agenda.

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Following recent Foreign Ministry warnings, China has urged the United States to join a united front against resurgent Japanese militarism, citing threats to its Taiwan interests. State media highlight Tokyo's blurring of civilian-military lines, including PM Sanae Takaichi's nuclear armament proposal.

 

 

 

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