Bitcoin options market concentrates on December 2025 expiry

Bitcoin's options market, with open interest near $55.76 billion, shows heavy concentration around a December 26, 2025, expiry date and $100,000 strike levels. This positioning influences hedging activities and potential market flows as the spot price hovers around $92,480. Traders and dealers are closely watching these levels for impacts on liquidity and price movements.

The Bitcoin options market currently holds total open interest of approximately $55.76 billion, dominated by Deribit at $46.24 billion, followed by CME with $4.50 billion, OKX at $3.17 billion, Bybit at $1.29 billion, and Binance at $558.42 million. Spot trading occurs around $92,479.90, while the options curve heavily favors the December 26, 2025, settlement date. Strikes cluster around $100,000, with significant call options at that level and increments like $110,000, $120,000, and $130,000. Puts accumulate more densely between $70,000 and $90,000.

Max-pain levels for near-term maturities sit in the low-$90,000 range, shifting toward $100,000 for the year-end cluster. Gamma exposure concentrates between $86,000 and $110,000, with the flattest area from mid-$90,000 to $100,000. This setup indicates where dealers hedge most actively, potentially pinning price movements or accelerating them upon breakout.

Options serve dual roles: transferring directional risk and prompting spot and futures hedging by dealers. High open interest at a single expiry like December 26 bunches hedging and unwinds around that date. Year-end timing aligns with quarterly listings near holidays, fund risk management, and tax considerations, leading to thinner liquidity and predictable flows.

Post-expiry, the market may experience shifts as gamma clears and hedges unwind. If the $55.76 billion in notional rolls forward to similar strikes, the $100,000 level could persist as a key reference. Reduced exposure might create less friction for price travel. CME's regulated activity complements Deribit's crypto-native flows, reinforcing these levels when aligned with ETF and basis trades.

For non-options traders, these concentrations act as liquidity landmarks, with max-pain and gamma providing context on engaged market machinery rather than precise targets.

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Bitcoin retreats to $92,000 during U.S. trading session

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Bitcoin fell back to just above $92,000 on January 6, 2026, erasing early gains amid a return to downward pressure during U.S. trading hours. The pullback occurred as U.S. stocks rose modestly and precious metals surged, with spot Bitcoin ETFs recording significant inflows. Despite the decline, futures open interest reached highs, signaling ongoing market interest.

Traders in the Bitcoin options market are focusing on contracts that could see the cryptocurrency return to $100,000, buoyed by hopes of renewed investor interest following a sharp fourth-quarter decline. Data from a major derivatives exchange highlights significant open interest in these optimistic positions.

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For the first time, open interest in Bitcoin options has exceeded that of futures, reaching $74.1 billion compared to $65.22 billion as of mid-January. This shift highlights a move toward more structured risk management in the market. Institutions are increasingly using options for hedging and volatility strategies rather than simple directional bets.

Bitcoin fell to a nine-month low below $80,000 on January 31, 2026, triggering over $2.5 billion in liquidations across crypto markets. Analysts attribute the crash to liquidity issues and extreme leverage rather than geopolitical tensions or Federal Reserve actions. The downturn erased $111 billion from the total crypto market value in 24 hours.

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Bitcoin terjun di bawah $102.000 pada 12 November 2025, menghapus keuntungan semalam saat perdagangan AS dimulai. Penurunan itu bertepatan dengan rentetan Premium Coinbase yang negatif, menandakan selera investor Amerika yang lemah. Ketidakpastian Federal Reserve mengenai pemotongan suku bunga Desember menambah tekanan pasar.

Bitcoin jatuh di bawah $106.000 pada Senin, 3 November 2025, saat pasar kripto kehilangan hampir $182 miliar nilai karena ketidakpastian atas keputusan suku bunga Federal Reserve bulan Desember. Penurunan ini, yang menghapus keuntungan dari pemulihan crash Oktober, juga memicu likuidasi posisi leverage lebih dari $1 miliar. Altcoin seperti Ethereum dan Solana anjlok 6% hingga 10%, di tengah laporan eksploitasi $128 juta pada protokol DeFi Balancer.

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Bitcoin naik ke sekitar $93.000 pada 3 Desember 2025, menandai level tertinggi dua minggu setelah penurunan tajam dari puncak Oktober. Ayunan volatil kripto mencerminkan tekanan makroekonomi dan perubahan sentimen investor. Para ahli memprediksi ketahanan pasar jangka panjang meskipun kerapuhan jangka pendek.

 

 

 

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