Bitcoin options market concentrates on December 2025 expiry

Bitcoin's options market, with open interest near $55.76 billion, shows heavy concentration around a December 26, 2025, expiry date and $100,000 strike levels. This positioning influences hedging activities and potential market flows as the spot price hovers around $92,480. Traders and dealers are closely watching these levels for impacts on liquidity and price movements.

The Bitcoin options market currently holds total open interest of approximately $55.76 billion, dominated by Deribit at $46.24 billion, followed by CME with $4.50 billion, OKX at $3.17 billion, Bybit at $1.29 billion, and Binance at $558.42 million. Spot trading occurs around $92,479.90, while the options curve heavily favors the December 26, 2025, settlement date. Strikes cluster around $100,000, with significant call options at that level and increments like $110,000, $120,000, and $130,000. Puts accumulate more densely between $70,000 and $90,000.

Max-pain levels for near-term maturities sit in the low-$90,000 range, shifting toward $100,000 for the year-end cluster. Gamma exposure concentrates between $86,000 and $110,000, with the flattest area from mid-$90,000 to $100,000. This setup indicates where dealers hedge most actively, potentially pinning price movements or accelerating them upon breakout.

Options serve dual roles: transferring directional risk and prompting spot and futures hedging by dealers. High open interest at a single expiry like December 26 bunches hedging and unwinds around that date. Year-end timing aligns with quarterly listings near holidays, fund risk management, and tax considerations, leading to thinner liquidity and predictable flows.

Post-expiry, the market may experience shifts as gamma clears and hedges unwind. If the $55.76 billion in notional rolls forward to similar strikes, the $100,000 level could persist as a key reference. Reduced exposure might create less friction for price travel. CME's regulated activity complements Deribit's crypto-native flows, reinforcing these levels when aligned with ETF and basis trades.

For non-options traders, these concentrations act as liquidity landmarks, with max-pain and gamma providing context on engaged market machinery rather than precise targets.

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Traders in the Bitcoin options market are focusing on contracts that could see the cryptocurrency return to $100,000, buoyed by hopes of renewed investor interest following a sharp fourth-quarter decline. Data from a major derivatives exchange highlights significant open interest in these optimistic positions.

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For the first time, open interest in Bitcoin options has exceeded that of futures, reaching $74.1 billion compared to $65.22 billion as of mid-January. This shift highlights a move toward more structured risk management in the market. Institutions are increasingly using options for hedging and volatility strategies rather than simple directional bets.

Bitcoin fell to a nine-month low below $80,000 on January 31, 2026, triggering over $2.5 billion in liquidations across crypto markets. Analysts attribute the crash to liquidity issues and extreme leverage rather than geopolitical tensions or Federal Reserve actions. The downturn erased $111 billion from the total crypto market value in 24 hours.

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Bitcoin rasade under 102 000 dollar den 12 november 2025 och suddade ut nattens vinster när handeln i USA började. Nedgången sammanföll med en negativ svit i Coinbase Premium som indikerar svag aptit hos amerikanska investerare. Osäkerhet kring Federal Reserves eventuella räntesänkning i december tillade marknadspress.

Bitcoin föll under 106 000 $ på måndagen den 3 november 2025, då kryptovalutamarknaderna förlorade nästan 182 miljarder dollar i värde på grund av osäkerhet kring Federal Reserves beslut om räntesänkning i december. Fallet, som raderade ut vinster från återhämtningen efter oktoberkraschen, utlöste också över 1 miljard dollar i likvidationer av hävstångspositioner. Altcoins som Ethereum och Solana rasade 6 till 10 %, mitt i en rapporterad exploit på 128 miljoner dollar i Balancer DeFi-protokoll.

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Bitcoin klättrade till runt 93 000 dollar den 3 december 2025 och nådde en tvåveckorshögsta efter en kraftig nedgång från oktobertoppen. Kryptovalutans volatila svängningar speglar makroekonomiska tryck och skiftande investerarsentiment. Experter förutspår marknadens långsiktiga motståndskraft trots kortvarig skörhet.

 

 

 

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