El Niño conditions now present – PAGASA

El Niño conditions are now present in the tropical Pacific, with an 80 percent probability of developing into a full-blown event persisting until early 2027, the state weather bureau said.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration reported that El Niño conditions have emerged. “State agencies and the general public are advised to take appropriate preparedness and response measures to mitigate potential impacts, particularly in areas vulnerable to heavy rainfall and floods during southwest monsoon season and those areas prone to below-normal rainfall conditions,” the bureau said. El Niño typically raises the risk of dry spells and drought across much of the country. Above-normal rainfall may still occur over western sections during the southwest monsoon season, especially with tropical cyclone activity.

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Agensi cuaca global telah menyatakan bahwa El Niño telah dimulai di Pasifik tropis. Berbagai model menunjukkan peluang 63 persen fenomena ini akan menjadi El Niño yang sangat kuat atau super.

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Para ilmuwan memperkirakan peluang sebesar 80 persen bahwa El Niño akan terbentuk pada bulan September, dengan sebagian besar model mengarah pada peristiwa tingkat moderat. Beberapa simulasi mengindikasikan kemungkinan episode yang jauh lebih kuat. Pemanasan global diperkirakan akan mengintensifkan dampak dari kejadian semacam itu.

The World Meteorological Organization has announced a 90 percent chance of El Niño emerging in the second half of this year and affecting Kenya.

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The Ministry of Housing urged local authorities and service operators to prepare emergency measures ahead of the likely arrival of the El Niño phenomenon in the second half of the year.

 

 

 

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