2026年5月7日、ドナルド・トランプ米大統領がイランとの合意は十分に可能であると述べたことを受け、世界の原油価格が急落しました。これに伴い、フィリピン国内でもガソリン価格の下落に対する期待が高まっています。
国際指標であるブレント原油は取引中に急落し、一時1バレルあたり100ドルを割り込みました。その後、7.8％下落の101.27ドルで取引を終えました。
この急落は、イランとの合意の可能性を示唆したトランプ大統領の発言を受けたもので、中東における紛争への懸念が和らいだことによるものです。
マニラでは、この傾向が今後数日間続けば、フィリピンのドライバーにとって国内の燃料価格が再び引き下げられる可能性があるとの期待が高まっています。
来週の燃料価格はまちまちとなる見通しで、ディーゼルは値下げの可能性がある一方、ガソリンは再び値上がりする可能性があります。4月のインフレ率は7.2％に達し、2023年3月以来のハイペースとなりました。これは、21.4％急騰した輸送コストなどが一部要因となっています。
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Oil prices climbed above $100 a barrel on Monday after the latest escalation in the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran heightened concerns about supply disruptions and tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post that the price spike would be temporary and would ease once Iran’s nuclear threat is eliminated.
Oil prices rose on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump and Iran threatened to attack energy facilities in the Middle East. Brent crude futures climbed to $113.20 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate reached $98.85.
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Crude prices briefly fell after reports that the International Energy Agency would release oil reserves, but rebounded as markets doubted the plan would proceed to offset supply shocks from the US-Israeli conflict with Iran. The proposed drawdown would exceed the 182 million barrels released in 2022. Brent and West Texas Intermediate prices rose by session's end.
Oil prices surged about 20% on Monday as the expanding U.S.-Israeli war with Iran prompted major Middle Eastern producers to cut supplies, reaching highs not seen since July 2022. Iraq and Kuwait have reduced output, amid fears of prolonged disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict could impose weeks or months of elevated fuel costs worldwide, even if it resolves quickly.
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International gasoline prices have surged 74.7% since US and Israel attacks on Iran began on February 28, pushing Brent crude over $100 per barrel amid Strait of Hormuz risks. Colombia, after early-year dips, implemented a price hike on April 1, with experts warning of further adjustments amid global tensions.
President Donald Trump said in a Tuesday CNBC interview that he anticipated oil prices surging to $200 per barrel when he authorized military action against Iran. Current prices stand at $90 per barrel, the highest since 2022, lower than his forecast. He also noted the stock market has remained stable despite his predictions of a sharp decline.
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Global oil prices are poised for their strongest monthly gain on record, with Brent crude nearing a 60% March surge due to the Iran war. US President Donald Trump indicated he is considering an exit from the conflict despite ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Tanker attacks continue to choke supplies.