Housing prices in Spain rise 13.1% in 2025, the highest increase since 2006

Spain's housing market saw a sharp surge in 2025, with a 13.1% year-on-year price increase in the fourth quarter, per Tinsa data. This growth, the highest in nearly two decades, pushes the average price per square meter to 2,091 euros, approaching 2007 peak levels. Strong labor markets and stabilizing mortgage costs drive the trend amid insufficient supply.

Housing prices in Spain accelerated in late 2025, posting a 13.1% year-on-year increase in the fourth quarter, the highest since 2006, according to Tinsa's report released on December 29. Adjusted for inflation, the real gain was 10%, exceeding the previous moderate pace of around 4%.

The average price per square meter now stands at 2,091 euros, 3.3% below the 2007 peak, seen as the housing bubble's high point. From the 2015 low, prices have risen 63.8% nominally. The increase is widespread across all autonomous communities, though at varying rates: Madrid leads at nearly 19.6%, followed by the Valencian Community and Cantabria, both around 16%. The highest prices are in Madrid (3,799 euros/m²), the Balearic Islands (3,644), and Catalonia (2,549), while the lowest include Extremadura (976 euros/m²).

Provincially, 32 of 52 provinces saw accelerating rises, with 21 exceeding 10%. In provincial capitals, 20 recorded increases over 10%, with Madrid at 20.9% and Barcelona at 8.3%. Ten cities, such as Palma, Madrid, and Malaga, now surpass 2007 nominal prices.

Jose García Montalvo, professor of Economics at Pompeu Fabra University, notes that 2025's real growth rate is among the highest in the last 20 years, though it does not yet match 2006 levels. Affordability is strained: nationally, buying requires 34.5% of median income, but in Madrid it reaches 56% and in Barcelona 53%.

For 2026, Cristina Arias, head of Studies at Tinsa, forecasts 5% to 10% growth due to supply shortages. For new homes, Sociedad de Tasación reports an 8.9% rise to 3,298 euros/m², a historic high.

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Illustration of a sold house in snowy Skåne, Sweden, with agent handing keys to buyers, symbolizing stable December 2025 real estate market.
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New house sales in Skåne completed in December 2025

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Several houses in Skåne have recently changed hands in December 2025, with prices varying widely across locations like Lund, Höllviken, and Lomma. Market trends show mixed local movements, while county-wide prices remain essentially stable.

Demand has driven a 20.5% rise in second-hand housing prices in 2025, the highest increase in two decades. Cities like León, Ciudad Real, and Guadalajara lead the surges, according to Fotocasa's report. The average price hit 2,879 euros per square meter in December.

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Since 2016, rental prices in Spain have risen 92%, nearly four times faster than salaries, which grew only 24%. This has pushed the cost of a medium-sized apartment above 40% of the average gross salary, making housing access an increasingly tough challenge for many, especially young people and immigrants.

Colombia's Banco de la República raised its intervention rate by 100 basis points to 10.25%—the highest in over a year—in its first 2026 board meeting, citing persistent inflation above 5% for nearly six months and unanchored expectations from a 23.8% minimum wage hike decreed by President Petro's government. The decision, with a split 4-2-1 vote, drew market surprise and government criticism over economic contraction risks.

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In November 2025, real estate purchase deeds in Buenos Aires dropped 8.8% compared to the same month in 2024, with 5,250 operations signed. Despite the decline, the total transaction value rose 51.5% year-over-year to $885.985 million pesos. The sector is slowing down, affected by fewer mortgages, according to the College of Notaries.

Salaries rose 1.8% in November 2025, below that month's 2.5% inflation, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Censos (INDEC). From January to November, incomes increased an average of 36%, exceeding the 27.9% inflation for the period. However, growth in registered employment lagged behind the informal sector.

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The alliance 'Soziales Wohnen' has presented the Social Housing Monitor 2026, highlighting an acute shortage of affordable housing in Germany. Currently, around 1.4 million rental apartments are missing, severely affecting students and immigrants. Experts warn of a social disaster that could exacerbate the skilled labor shortage.

 

 

 

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