Mountains warm faster than lowlands, global review shows

Mountains around the world are heating up more quickly than surrounding lowlands, according to a comprehensive study, leading to shifts in snow, rain, and water supplies that affect over a billion people. The research highlights elevation-dependent climate change, with temperatures rising 0.21°C per century faster in mountain regions. These changes pose risks to ecosystems, water resources, and human safety in areas like the Himalayas.

A major global review published in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment has revealed that mountain regions are experiencing accelerated warming compared to nearby lowland areas. Led by Associate Professor Dr. Nick Pepin of the University of Portsmouth, the study analyzes data from 1980 to 2020 across key mountain systems, including the Rocky Mountains, the Alps, the Andes, and the Tibetan Plateau.

The research identifies "elevation-dependent climate change" (EDCC) as a key process, where environmental shifts intensify with altitude. Key findings include mountain temperatures warming at an average rate of 0.21°C per century faster than lowlands, alongside erratic rainfall patterns and a transition from snowfall to rain. "Mountains share many characteristics with Arctic regions and are experiencing similarly rapid changes," Dr. Pepin stated. "This is because both environments are losing snow and ice rapidly and are seeing profound changes in ecosystems."

These transformations have far-reaching implications. More than one billion people rely on mountain snow and glaciers for freshwater, particularly in densely populated nations like China and India, which depend on the Himalayas. Dr. Pepin warned, "The Himalayan ice is decreasing more rapidly than we thought. When you transition from snowfall to rain because it has become warmer, you're more likely to get devastating floods. Hazardous events also become more extreme."

Ecological impacts are also severe, with plants and animals migrating upslope in search of cooler conditions, potentially leading to species loss as they reach mountain summits. Recent events, such as the deadly floods in Pakistan this summer that killed over 1,000 people due to intense monsoon storms and mountain cloudbursts, illustrate the growing dangers.

The review builds on a 2015 study by the same team in Nature Climate Change, which first evidenced elevation-based warming. However, challenges persist, including data gaps from remote, harsh mountain environments. "Mountains are harsh environments, remote, and hard to get to," noted Dr. Nadine Salzmann from the WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF in Davos, Switzerland. "Therefore, maintaining weather and climate stations in these environments remains challenging."

Scientists call for enhanced monitoring and finer-scale climate models to better predict changes. Dr. Emily Potter of the University of Sheffield added, "The good news is that computer models are improving. But better technology alone isn't enough—we need urgent action on climate commitments and significantly improved monitoring infrastructure in these vulnerable mountain regions."

Makala yanayohusiana

Climate models predict that the rate of glacier loss will accelerate to 3000 per year by 2040, even if nations achieve their emission reduction targets. This could result in 79 percent of the world's glaciers vanishing by 2100 under current policies, threatening water supplies for billions and contributing to sea-level rise. Researchers emphasize the potential to save many glaciers by limiting warming to 2 degrees Celsius.

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Human-caused climate change warmed ocean temperatures, intensifying heavy rainfall from cyclones Senyar and Ditwah in Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and Sri Lanka, leading to floods and landslides that killed over 1,600 people. A World Weather Attribution study found North Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures were 0.2°C higher than the three-decade average. The world is now 1.3°C warmer than pre-industrial levels.

Climate change is making Greenland more accessible for shipping and mining, heightening geopolitical tensions. While opening new opportunities, the melting ice also poses significant dangers to development. Recent U.S. permissions for military bases underscore the island's strategic value.

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A new study indicates that the Arctic will retain about 1.5°C of warming and excess precipitation even if atmospheric carbon dioxide returns to pre-industrial levels. Researchers used multiple climate models to predict these irreversible changes, driven largely by ocean heat absorption. This highlights the challenges of reversing regional climate impacts through carbon dioxide removal efforts.

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