Illustration depicting EU shift to US jet fuel imports amid Iran war disruptions in Strait of Hormuz.
Illustration depicting EU shift to US jet fuel imports amid Iran war disruptions in Strait of Hormuz.
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EU drafts guidance to curb reliance on Middle East jet fuel as Iran war strains supply

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The European Union is preparing non-binding guidance urging member states to reduce reliance on Middle Eastern jet fuel and consider increasing imports from the United States, a source familiar with the plans told Reuters, as the Iran war continues to disrupt energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

European airlines are warning that tight jet fuel supplies could disrupt travel during the peak summer season as the Iran war continues to unsettle global energy flows.

According to Reuters, the European Union is set to publish non-binding recommendations next week that would encourage member countries to cut their dependence on jet fuel sourced from the Middle East and to explore greater imports from the United States. The guidance is expected to emphasize building resilience through greater self-sufficiency, including the use of sustainable aviation fuel and synthetic fuels.

Reuters also reported that Europe is particularly exposed because it imports about 30% to 40% of its jet fuel, with at least half of those imports coming from the Middle East. A European Commission spokesperson told Reuters that supply availability remains the primary concern and said the EU could consider a coordinated release of jet fuel stocks if shipments continue to be snarled.

The Strait of Hormuz remains a focal point. Reuters reported that Iran reopened the strait on Friday after a ceasefire accord in Lebanon, but U.S. President Donald Trump said a naval blockade would remain in place until a deal is reached with Tehran. Asked about the reopening, the Commission spokesperson added: “Let’s see,” reflecting uncertainty over whether safe passage will last.

The International Air Transport Association’s director general, Willie Walsh, warned on Friday that flight cancellations in Europe could begin by the end of May because of a lack of jet fuel, Reuters reported.

Reuters also said some airports have warned of potential shortages within three weeks if shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain disrupted, and that the Commission is expected to caution that supply could stay constrained even if the route is fully unblocked. In parallel, the EU’s draft guidance is expected to address operational issues tied to shortages, including airlines’ exposure to slot rules and compliance obligations intended to curb “tankering,” the practice of loading extra fuel to avoid refueling at constrained airports.

Ohun tí àwọn ènìyàn ń sọ

X discussions express alarm over Europe's looming jet fuel shortages from Iran war disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, predicting flight cancellations and economic strain. EU's draft guidance to reduce Middle East reliance and boost US imports is highlighted alongside calls for reserve releases. Skeptical views criticize EU's energy dependence and weak military, while analysts forecast up to 30% flight cuts. Neutral reports note preparations for rationing and aid to airlines.

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Illustration of Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade during war, driving up global oil and gas prices and threatening Europe's energy supply.
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War in Iran causes surge in energy prices

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On the fifth day of the war in Iran, Tehran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has driven up oil and gas prices, affecting the global economy. European gas prices rose from 32 to 49 euros per MWh, while Brent crude climbed from 72 to 82 dollars per barrel. Europe, vulnerable due to its reliance on imports, faces heightened risks if the conflict drags on.

Due to the Iran war's impact on energy prices, the EU Commission has urged member states to lower gas storage filling targets from 90 to 80 percent. EU Commissioner Dan Jørgensen wrote in a letter that this could reduce gas demand and ease price pressures. The EU is better prepared for crises than in 2022.

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Escalation of conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has led Iran to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, halting tanker traffic and driving global oil prices above US$80 per barrel. The effects extend to Europe, which is now reconsidering plans to end Russian gas imports, while Indonesia pushes for de-escalation via the D-8 organization and assures stable fuel supplies.

President Donald Trump ordered US and Israeli attacks on Tehran in the early morning of February 28, 2026, prompting an Iranian missile response against Israel. This Middle East conflict endangers global oil supply via the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of the world's crude passes. In Mexico, which imports gasoline, it could lead to price hikes if the conflict persists.

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Oil prices surged about 20% on Monday as the expanding U.S.-Israeli war with Iran prompted major Middle Eastern producers to cut supplies, reaching highs not seen since July 2022. Iraq and Kuwait have reduced output, amid fears of prolonged disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict could impose weeks or months of elevated fuel costs worldwide, even if it resolves quickly.

South Africa faces acute fuel supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure, despite government assurances of no crisis. Local shortages have emerged, while price increases loom for April. Agricultural harvests risk lower yields due to diesel limits.

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US President Donald Trump announced that the government will waive sanctions on some countries to ensure oil supply and curb prices amid the Middle East conflict. He stated the suspension would last until the Strait of Hormuz functions normally, but provided no details. Sources suggest the measure may target Russian oil.

 

 

 

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