随着中东停火局势趋稳,预计4月21日柴油价格将进一步下调每升17至19比索

继上周价格下调后,由于中东紧张局势随着停火协议的维持而进一步缓和,预计从4月21日起,柴油价格将再降每升17至19比索,汽油价格将降每升2至3比索,柴油价格有望跌破130比索。

在中东局势趋于稳定(包括以色列与黎巴嫩之间为期10天的停火协议持续有效)的背景下,全球油价中包含的战争溢价正在持续回调。美国总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布,预计在巴基斯坦的斡旋下,不久将与伊朗达成协议。

在此之前,各石油公司已于4月14日实施了降价:根据能源部的最新数据,柴油每升下调20.89比索,汽油下调4.43至4.50比索,煤油下调8.50比索,使大马尼拉地区的柴油价格降至约147比索,汽油降至每升116比索。

一位行业消息人士根据“普氏新加坡基准价格”(Mean of Platts Singapore)四个交易日的走势预测,下一轮调整将于4月21日生效。

能源部长莎伦·加林(Sharon Garin)提醒称,由于中东能源基础设施受损,油价短期内不会回到每升60或50比索的危机前水平。她在《菲律宾星报》(The STAR)的节目“Truth on the Line”中表示:“我不想打击大家的积极性,但我们有责任对公众保持现实。”

马科斯总统颁布的第114号行政命令,将液化石油气(LPG)和煤油的消费税暂停征收三个月,继续为公众提供纾困。此举使液化石油气价格每公斤下降3.36比索(约合每罐37比索),煤油价格每升下降5.65比索。

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Realistic photo of a Philippine gas station celebrating fuel price rollbacks to P23 per liter for diesel, with happy drivers amid jeepneys and price signs.
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Fuel prices roll back up to P23 per liter starting April 14 after weeks of Middle East-driven hikes

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Oil firms confirmed price rollbacks effective 6 a.m. Tuesday, April 14, matching Department of Energy projections: diesel down P20.89 to P23 per liter, gasoline P4.43 to P4.50, and kerosene P8.50. The cuts end surges of over P100 on diesel since late February's Middle East crisis. President Marcos suspended excise taxes on LPG and kerosene, while a jeepney subsidy launches.

Diesel prices in Metro Manila could drop to P70 to P90 per liter next week. Local fuel retailers are expected to implement fresh rollbacks following progress in Middle East peace talks.

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Updated industry estimates project even larger diesel cuts of P24 to P26 per liter and gasoline P2.50 to P3.50 per liter starting April 21, up from earlier P17-P19 projections, as the global oil war premium continues to unwind—extending relief from the April 14 rollbacks amid the 2026 fuel crisis.

Oil firms will implement another round of fuel price hikes this week, with diesel seeing double-digit increases amid elevated global oil prices. Shell and Jetti Petroleum announced diesel increases of P12.90 per liter, while PetroGazz, Seaoil and UniOil raised prices by P12.50 per liter. Gasoline and kerosene prices also rose, though at slower rates.

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Oil companies implemented major fuel price hikes effective April 7, pushing diesel prices past P140 to P150 per liter in several areas. The increases stem from volatility in global crude markets reacting to Middle East conflict. These mark historic highs despite staggered adjustments.

Due to the war in the Middle East, diesel prices in the Philippines are expected to exceed P100 per liter, prompting public utility vehicle drivers to consider other jobs. Jeepney and tricycle drivers like Renie Rabago and Omeng Elardo struggle with rising fuel costs while their earnings remain low. The government offers a one-time P5,000 subsidy to assist them, though some say it is insufficient.

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Philippine fuel supply may last until the second week of May with one million barrels expected soon, according to the Department of Energy. Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said the average supply stood at 45 days as of March 20, down from 55-57 days when the Middle East war began nearly a month ago.

 

 

 

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