El Nino could turn 4-7 tropical cyclones this year into super typhoons

The Hong Kong Observatory said the developing El Nino could intensify four to seven tropical cyclones into super typhoons this year. It also forecast temperatures in the city could reach 35 degrees Celsius on Friday.

The Observatory issued the warning on Thursday. It noted that the current El Nino event is expected to last from autumn until early next year at the latest.

Choy Chun-wing, the Observatory’s acting assistant director, said the phenomenon would cause tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific to form further east. This shift raises the chance that the storms become super typhoons before reaching Hong Kong.

The forecaster also reported a temperature of 33.4 degrees Celsius at its Tsim Sha Tsui headquarters on Thursday. It predicted the reading could be broken on Friday with a high of 35 degrees Celsius, and possibly higher if showers arrive late in the day.

Under the combined effects of El Nino and global warming, Hong Kong has a high chance of recording one of its ten warmest years.

مقالات ذات صلة

Drought-stricken Andes landscape with forest fires and NOAA El Niño forecast map overlay, illustrating 90% probability warning.
صورة مولدة بواسطة الذكاء الاصطناعي

NOAA raises El Niño probability to 90% for September 2026

من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي صورة مولدة بواسطة الذكاء الاصطناعي

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated its forecasts, estimating a 90% probability of El Niño starting in September 2026 and lasting through the year's final quarter. It raised the May-July projection from 25% in March to 61%. Experts warn of impacts in regions like the Caribbean, Andes, and Orinoquía, including forest fire risks from water deficits and thermal stress.

International weather centers warn of a possible super El Niño between 2026 and 2027. Ideam reports a 61 percent chance the phenomenon will set in between late May and June.

من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي

Hong Kong's Observatory forecasts increasing showers with squally thunderstorms later on Sunday, May 3, heavier in some areas. A cold front sweeping Guangdong's coast will drop temperatures to around 21 degrees Celsius by Monday morning. The public is urged to monitor updates for outdoor plans.

The South African Weather Service forecasts above-normal rainfall for the southeastern and eastern coastal areas during autumn and early winter, while the southwestern regions face below-normal precipitation.

من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي

Tropical Storm Hagupit is expected to enter the Philippine area of responsibility on Saturday and will be locally named Caloy. The state weather bureau said the storm has a high chance of weakening once it reaches the Philippine Sea.

The tropical storm Hagupit may enter the Philippine area of responsibility between Saturday evening and Sunday morning, according to the state weather bureau. Once inside, it will be given the local name Caloy. The system is currently located far east of Mindanao and is not expected to directly affect the country in the next three days.

من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي

James Hansen, a prominent climate scientist at Columbia University, has predicted that 2026 will become the hottest year on record, surpassing 2024 due to accelerating global warming and an impending super El Niño. He argues that current sea surface temperatures support this forecast despite ongoing La Niña cooling. Other experts urge caution amid forecast uncertainties.

 

 

 

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