حذر بنك الاحتياطي الهندي من أن تصاعد الصراع في غرب آسيا قد يعرقل مسار النمو الإيجابي للبلاد. وقد قيّم البنك المركزي أن التأثير من المرجح أن يظل محدوداً على المدى القريب.
أصدر بنك الاحتياطي الهندي هذا التحذير ضمن تقييمه للظروف الاقتصادية. وأشار إلى أنه على الرغم من أن الآثار الحالية للصراع تبدو محدودة، إلا أن المزيد من التصعيد يشكل مخاطر على آفاق الهند التي تبدو إيجابية للفترة المقبلة، بما في ذلك توقعات الناتج المحلي الإجمالي لعام 2026-27.
من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي صورة مولدة بواسطة الذكاء الاصطناعي
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday kept the key policy rate, the repo rate, unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Amid uncertainties from the West Asia conflict, the committee retained its neutral stance. It has lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for FY27.
India's economy could face challenges from the West Asia conflict, which may impact oil prices and overall growth. According to Crisil Intelligence, real GDP growth is expected to reach 7.1 percent in FY27, driven by consumer spending and investment. Exports are anticipated to increase, while retail inflation might climb to 4.3 percent.
من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي
Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the central bank is in “wait and watch mode” amid uncertainties from the West Asia war, with second-round effects being the real concern. In a speech at Princeton University on April 18, he stressed preventing supply shocks from embedding in price levels through inflation expectations rather than demand compression. He highlighted India’s significant exposure to the region.
Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompted Strait of Hormuz disruptions, oil prices rose nearly 8% amid ongoing tensions. Indian markets shed Rs 6.35 lakh crore on Tuesday, with the rupee weakening on supply fears. Globally, the dollar strengthened as a safe haven while the yen and euro weakened.
من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي
Indian stock markets experienced a significant downturn on Friday. The decline was driven by geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran along with a weakening rupee.
The Indian rupee sank to a fresh record low against the US dollar, fueled by soaring energy import costs during an ongoing energy crisis and accelerating capital outflows. This has intensified pressure on the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to potentially hike interest rates, ending a pause in monetary tightening.
من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) kept its 2026 growth forecast for South Korea unchanged at 1.9 percent despite the Middle East crisis. The institution raised its inflation outlook for this year by 0.7 percentage point to 2.5 percent, citing rising global oil prices. The Ministry of Economy and Finance said strong exports and effects from a supplementary budget kept the growth outlook steady.