Indian Rupee Hits Record Low of 95.28 Against USD, Continuing FY26 Decline Amid Oil Price Surge

Continuing its sharp FY26 depreciation—after breaching 94 in late March—the Indian rupee fell to a fresh record low of 95.28 against the US dollar on Tuesday, May 5. Oil prices exceeding $110 a barrel have intensified inflation and balance-of-payments worries, prompting Reserve Bank of India interventions amid curbs on foreign exchange positions.

The rupee's slide past 95 triggered restrictions on FX positions, as reported by The Economic Times. Brent crude futures holding above $110 fueled risk aversion, curbed capital inflows, and amplified pressure on India's currency. The RBI intervened to provide support, but persistent oil concerns and external vulnerabilities pose ongoing challenges.

Speculation is growing around additional measures, such as incentives for Non-Resident Indian dollar deposits, to boost foreign exchange reserves. No timeline has been confirmed. These developments underscore India's exposure to global oil dynamics and investor sentiment, with RBI actions offering temporary relief but sustained recovery hinging on easing energy prices and stronger inflows.

This milestone follows earlier FY26 lows, including 93.73 in March and nearing 95 amid Gulf tensions, marking the rupee as Asia's worst performer with a 9.9% annual decline.

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Trading floor at Bombay Stock Exchange showing screens with Indian rupee's 9.9% FY26 decline, Asia's worst, amid oil surge and stock drops.
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Indian rupee ends FY26 as Asia's worst performer with 9.9% decline

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The Indian rupee depreciated by 9.88% against the US dollar in FY26, marking it as Asia's weakest currency amid record foreign investor outflows and surging oil prices. The Reserve Bank of India intervened to stabilize the currency, while domestic funds provided a record cushion against the exits. Equity indices like Nifty and Sensex recorded their worst fiscal performance since FY20.

The Indian rupee plunged to a fresh all-time low of 93.73 against the US dollar, its sharpest single-day drop since late 2022. This extends the depreciation trend that saw it weaken to 92.42 earlier in the week amid surging oil prices from West Asian conflicts and foreign investor outflows.

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The Indian rupee weakened further to breach 94 and approach 95 against the US dollar—a new record low—following its prior plunge to 93.73 last week. Surging crude oil prices from Red Sea tensions and fears of a prolonged Gulf war drove the slide, while Indian stocks extended losses into a fifth consecutive week. Limited Reserve Bank of India intervention has heightened concerns of additional depreciation.

The rupiah weakened against the US dollar in trading on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, influenced by hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials and US economic data. Analysts predict fluctuations with levels around Rp16,800-Rp16,900 per US dollar. Bank Indonesia is likely to hold interest rates amid this pressure.

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The Philippine peso closed at P61.30 against the US dollar on Tuesday, April 28, marking a new record low amid global uncertainties from the Middle East conflict.

India's banking system liquidity surplus has narrowed to ₹75,483 crore amid advance tax outflows of Rs 2 lakh crore and forex market interventions. Money market rates rose as a result, leading the Reserve Bank of India to conduct a repo operation. Economists estimate the RBI sold over $15 billion to support the rupee.

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The Colombian dollar closed higher on Tuesday, reaching $3,659.85, driven by expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. Meanwhile, Brent and WTI oil prices fell slightly amid tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Traders are assessing economic data that could influence U.S. monetary policy.

 

 

 

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