Hong Kong property market to build on gains in Year of the Horse

Hong Kong's property market ended three years of decline with a strong rebound in the Year of the Snake, recording 87,506 transactions worth about US$86.8 billion. Agents expect the Year of the Horse to build on this momentum, aided by lower interest rates and potential government budget support, shifting from recovery to expansion. Derek Chan Hoi-chiu, head of research at Ricacorp Properties, anticipates firmer prices across mass, mid-market, and luxury segments.

According to the Land Registry, overall property transactions in the Year of the Snake totalled 87,506, valued at about US$86.8 billion. This marked the end of three years of decline and a strong rebound fuelled by policy easing and the wealth effect from gains in the Hong Kong stock market, as stated by Derek Chan Hoi-chiu, head of research at Ricacorp Properties.

"The Year of the Snake marked the end of three years of decline and a strong rebound fuelled by policy easing and wealth effect [from the Hong Kong stock market’s gain],” Chan said. “The Year of the Horse will build on the momentum,” he added. “With lower rates and potential government budget support, the market will move from recovery to expansion.”

He indicated that investors could expect more balanced volume growth, firmer prices across the mass, mid-market, and luxury segments, and a healthier secondary sector. Ricacorp estimated 88,200 transactions valued at HK$684 billion in the Year of the Snake, an increase of 31 per cent and 27 per cent, respectively, compared with the preceding Year of the Dragon.

The article, published on February 20, 2026, discusses market outlook following Lunar New Year, covering areas like Hong Kong Island, Kowloon, and the New Territories. Keywords include Hong Kong property, home prices, and agencies such as Centaline Property Agency and Midland Realty.

This projection reflects agents' optimism for the future, though specific policy details or risks are not mentioned.

관련 기사

Sales of luxury homes in Hong Kong surged 156% in the first quarter, driven by stock-market gains and attractive prices, real estate agents say. Mainland Chinese buyers accounted for more than half of the deals. The segment is likely to see another increase in the second quarter.

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Hong Kong's Land Registry reported 8,692 transactions across all property sectors last month, up 12.3% from March. Residential sales reached 7,368 units, the highest in two years. Total sales value rose sharply.

Office rents in Hong Kong’s Central district are forecast to increase faster from the second quarter, reversing a slump that started in late 2019. Stronger demand has already cut grade-A vacancy rates to 9.6 per cent, a four-year low.

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Analysts forecast accelerated growth for the global luxury sector in 2026, with China’s consumer spending rebound as a key driver despite challenges from a volatile property market and oil shocks from the war in Iran. HSBC, Deutsche Bank and BNP Paribas predict global sales growth of 5.5 to 6 per cent.

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