Oil prices keep falling while US stocks near record highs

Oil prices are falling on hopes for an end to the war with Iran while the US stock market holds near its records. Brent crude dropped 3.2 percent to $97.98 per barrel.

The S&P 500 added 0.2 percent to its all-time high on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1 percent while the Nasdaq composite gained 0.6 percent to a fresh record.

Oil prices fell as hopes grew for reopening the Strait of Hormuz. A spokesperson for Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry said, “We expect an agreement sooner rather than later.” Pakistan is mediating between the United States and Iran.

Corporate results were mixed. Datadog surged 29.6 percent, Albemarle rose 8.2 percent and Axon Enterprise gained 10.2 percent. Whirlpool dropped 12.5 percent and Shake Shack tumbled 28.6 percent.

McDonald’s CEO Chris Kempczinski said high gasoline prices and consumer anxiety over the Iran war could hurt sales this spring.

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Crude oil prices have climbed above $110 per barrel—up 20% in days and over 50% since the war began—as the US-Israel conflict with Iran persists into its second week, fueling fears of prolonged supply disruptions in the Persian Gulf. Asian markets tumbled, while US President Donald Trump called the spike a 'necessary sacrifice' for security.

Oil prices continued their sharp rise toward $100 per barrel on the eighth day of the Israel-US-Iran conflict, heightening fears of supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. Building on last week's surges amid initial strikes, the escalation is fueling global market volatility, with Indian equities facing elevated inflation risks from oil import dependence.

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Oil prices peaked above $114 per barrel on March 9 as the Iran war intensified, building on yesterday's surge past $110. Indian markets plunged amid fuel cost fears, while Asian governments rolled out measures to shield consumers from spiking prices.

Oil prices climbed above $100 a barrel on Monday after the latest escalation in the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran heightened concerns about supply disruptions and tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post that the price spike would be temporary and would ease once Iran’s nuclear threat is eliminated.

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Global markets reacted optimistically to a two-week truce announcement between the United States and Iran, boosting stocks and bonds while oil prices plunged. President Donald Trump confirmed a regime change in Iran and talks on sanctions relief. In Argentina, the country risk index dropped below 570 basis points.

Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompted Strait of Hormuz disruptions, oil prices rose nearly 8% amid ongoing tensions. Indian markets shed Rs 6.35 lakh crore on Tuesday, with the rupee weakening on supply fears. Globally, the dollar strengthened as a safe haven while the yen and euro weakened.

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Crude prices briefly fell after reports that the International Energy Agency would release oil reserves, but rebounded as markets doubted the plan would proceed to offset supply shocks from the US-Israeli conflict with Iran. The proposed drawdown would exceed the 182 million barrels released in 2022. Brent and West Texas Intermediate prices rose by session's end.

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