Andeg and Fenalcarbón highlight thermal plants' role ahead of possible El Niño

Trade groups Andeg and Fenalcarbón stressed the need for long-term contracts and coal-fired thermal plants as backup for Colombia's power grid, with El Niño likely in the second half of 2026. Alejandro Castañeda, Andeg president, and Carlos Cante, from Fenalcarbón, warned of growing energy deficits and climate vulnerabilities.

Andeg and Fenalcarbón called for recognizing coal-fired thermal generation's complementary role in Colombia's energy mix. Facing climate pressures, natural gas shortages, and sector financial issues, the groups underscored its reliability during low water availability from El Niño.

Alejandro Castañeda stated: "In the medium term, we are at zero between firm energy supply and demand, but the deficit will widen. For next year, we're talking 3%, then 4%, ending at 6% in 2028. To make it clear, last decade our margin was 7% above."

During the 2023-2024 El Niño, coal thermal plants supplied up to 18% of daily generation, with 1,653 MW installed capacity—enough for Antioquia—and up to 18,000 tons of coal consumed daily.

Coal mining produces over 80% of the country's mining royalties. Carlos Cante warned: "If the financing law is revived, it brings a 15% surtax on coal, 1% tax on first sales. We'd face price hikes [...] or risk shortages."

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Dramatic illustration of power lines blocked at Colombia-Ecuador border due to export suspension over tariffs.
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Colombia suspends electricity exports to Ecuador over tariffs

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Colombia's Ministry of Mines and Energy published Resolution 40064 on January 22, 2026, suspending international electricity transactions with Ecuador in response to President Daniel Noboa's 30% tariffs. The measure takes effect from 6 PM that day and prioritizes national supply. Ecuador claims it has sufficient capacity to meet its energy demand without imports.

Energy experts warn that Colombia faces a real risk of electrical imbalance due to rising consumption and delays in generation projects. The system shows alert signs after 30 years without blackouts. Diversifying sources and improving transmission are urged to avoid rationing in 2026 and 2027.

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The National Association of Public Services and Communications Companies (Andesco) and the Regional Center for Energy Studies (Cree) released a study revealing a 39% probability of a natural gas supply deficit in Colombia by 2026. The report highlights a medium thermal demand scenario that could rise to 58% in 2027, with average volumes of 117 Gbtud and 129 Gbtud respectively. Both organizations warn of the absence of a clear regulatory framework posing risks to the energy sector.

President Gustavo Petro attributed the 171.3% increase in electric vehicle sales in the first quarter of 2026 to his gasoline vehicle tariff policy. In an X post, he hailed the outcome as progress in decarbonization and relief for air pollution-related mortality in cities like Bogotá and Medellín.

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The Colombian government issued legislative decree 0044 on January 21, 2026, to ensure the continuity of electricity services amid an imminent crisis. The exceptional measures aim to bolster sector liquidity without impacting users or tariffs. Mines and Energy Minister Edwin Palma stressed the goal of preventing widespread blackouts in vulnerable areas like the Caribbean.

Codelco announced the closure of a US$600 million climate financing provided by HSBC and Banco Santander, guaranteed by the World Bank's MIGA, to fully decarbonize its energy matrix by 2030. This deal adds to a similar US$532 million financing secured in 2024. The funds will support the renewal of electricity supply contracts with renewable sources.

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The director of the Federal Electricity Commission (CFE), Emilia Esther Calleja Alor, appeared before the Energy Commission of the Chamber of Deputies to detail the company's achievements in 2025, as part of Claudia Sheinbaum's First Government Report. She highlighted subsidies for family tariffs, reduction in electrical interruptions, and infrastructure expansions. The presentation emphasized energy sovereignty and partnerships with the private sector.

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