Colombia's sales expectations decline for 2026 according to Fenalco

Fenalco's Economic Logbook reveals a decline in business optimism for 2026, with only 34% of respondents expecting improvements in their operations over the next six months. While November saw a sales boost from Black Days, uncertainty about consumption weighs on the commercial sector. The report highlights transformations in shopping malls and threats from platforms like Shein and Temu.

Colombia's organized commerce ends 2025 on a mixed note, according to Fenalco's Economic Logbook. On one hand, November's discount season boosted billing after a slow start, with 38% of business owners reporting higher physical sales volumes compared to the same month last year. Yet, the expectations indicator has fallen over the past four months, signaling pessimism for the start of 2026.

Black Days solidified as a key driver, dubbed by Fenalco a "national emotional holiday." 85% of consumers participated, with a high average ticket: 53% spent over $500,000, focusing on technology, fashion, and accessories. Electronic transactions hit $2.6 trillion, up 17% from 2024.

The report addresses emerging threats, such as cross-border platforms Shein and Temu in the fashion sector, and pressure from local startups in cosmetics and beauty through innovation and social media. In physical retail, cross-merchandising has spurred impulse buys.

Shopping malls have reshaped their layouts: clothing space dropped from over 50% early in the century to 32% now, reflecting shifts in the family basket per Dane data. Apparel's weight fell from 7.31% in 1998 to 3.98% in 2025, while restaurants and hotels rose from 6.98% to 9.43%. Consultant Luis Marinho explains: "Malls have acquired an identity of their own far beyond the traditional U.S. model. Today, they function as places for encounter, coexistence, and integrated services."

Despite the pandemic, occupancy holds at 93%. For sustainability, infrastructure cut energy use by 20% with LED and solar self-generation, covering 60% of common areas. In popular zones, these spaces create jobs mostly for female heads of household, driving social development.

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Photorealistic scene of bustling Bogotá streets with retail boom, factory, and billboard announcing 3.1% economic growth by Dane.
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Colombia's economy grew 3.1% in November 2025 according to Dane

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The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) revealed that the Economic Tracking Indicator (ISE) grew 3.1% in November 2025 compared to the same month in 2024, marking 18 consecutive months of positive growth. However, the manufacturing sector showed limited progress with 0.7% production growth, while sales fell 0.4%, and retail commerce rose 7.5%. Overall industrial production varied by 1.7%, driven by electricity supply.

South Africa's retail sector is entering the 2025 festive season with cautious resilience amid structural shifts. Sales in textiles, furniture, and online channels are rising, but households remain budget-conscious due to inflation and value concerns. This transition highlights a blend of seasonal spikes and long-term changes in consumer behavior.

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Tiendanube has released the first edition of its NubeCommerce Colombia report, analyzing the current state of e-commerce in the country. The study highlights high adoption of artificial intelligence among online stores, though its use remains mostly tactical. It also identifies challenges in promotional strategies and reliance on external platforms.

Argentina's textile sector and supermarkets reported a significant sales drop in January, blamed on economic factors like inflation and high costs. Guillermo Fasano, president of the Mar del Plata Textile Chamber, and Fernando Savore, a Buenos Aires supermarkets representative, highlighted weakened consumption despite summer seasonality. Both warned of the impact on workers' pockets and the need for reforms.

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Fernando Savore, vice president of the National Federation and the General Confederation of Grocers, explained on Canal E how consumption in supermarkets and stores has changed due to inflation and digitalization. He noted that large purchases have decreased, favoring small restocks in neighborhood stores. He also highlighted the rise of virtual payments and price adjustments in food.

Theme parks and amusement parks in Colombia generate $2 trillion in annual sales and attract 18 million visitors each year, according to the Colombian Association of Attractions and Amusement Parks (Acolap). These nearly 700 formal establishments create up to 30,000 jobs and are becoming key players in the national tourism chain.

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The volume of retail sales in Brazil rose 0.4% in January 2026 compared to December 2025, according to data released by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) on Wednesday (March 11). Over the past 12 months, growth stood at 1.6%. The survey highlights gains in sectors like pharmaceuticals and clothing, but declines in office equipment and fuels.

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