マニラ首都圏のディーゼル価格は、来週1リットルあたり70ペソから90ペソまで下落する可能性がある。中東和平交渉の進展を受け、現地の燃料小売業者が新たな値下げを実施する見通しだ。
業界筋が土曜日に語ったところによると、5月12日にはディーゼル価格が1リットルあたり7ペソから9ペソ引き下げられる可能性がある。一方で、ガソリン価格は1リットルあたり1ペソから3ペソ上昇する可能性がある。
エネルギー省の試算でも、ディーゼルは9ペソ、灯油は12ペソの値下げが見込まれている。ガソリン価格は1リットルあたり1.60ペソから1.70ペソ程度の微増となる可能性がある。石油各社は月曜日に正式な価格改定を発表する予定である。
エネルギー省石油産業管理局のリノ・アバド局長は、2月28日に始まった中東紛争の影響を受けていたディーゼル価格が、市場原理に基づく通常の水準に戻りつつあると述べた。「（ディーゼル価格の）大幅な下落を実感している」と同氏は語った。
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Oil firms confirmed price rollbacks effective 6 a.m. Tuesday, April 14, matching Department of Energy projections: diesel down P20.89 to P23 per liter, gasoline P4.43 to P4.50, and kerosene P8.50. The cuts end surges of over P100 on diesel since late February's Middle East crisis. President Marcos suspended excise taxes on LPG and kerosene, while a jeepney subsidy launches.
Following last week's rollbacks, diesel prices are forecast to drop another P17 to P19 per liter and gasoline P2 to P3 per liter starting April 21, potentially taking diesel below P130, as Middle East tensions ease further with a holding ceasefire.
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Fuel prices in the Philippines are expected to decline again this week, though on a smaller scale, according to Department of Energy estimates. Diesel could fall by P8 to P10 per liter, gasoline by around P0.40 per liter or rise up to P1 per liter, and kerosene by P11 per liter.
Fuel prices in the Philippines will see another round of rollbacks on Tuesday, April 21, led by Shell Pilipinas with cuts deeper than initial estimates. The changes take effect at 6 a.m. as Middle East conflict pressures ease.
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Following initial DOE warnings earlier this week, local oil retailers in the Philippines will implement double-digit fuel price increases of P17 to P24 per liter starting March 10, amid ongoing Middle East tensions. President Marcos plans to seek emergency powers to cut excise taxes.
Finance Minister Jorge Quiroz announced increases of $370 per liter in 93-octane gasoline and $580 in diesel, effective from Thursday, March 26, due to the international oil price surge from the Iran conflict. The government also activated palliative measures, including freezing Transantiago fares until year-end and subsidies for taxi drivers. Quiroz justified the moves as necessary to align local prices with international levels and safeguard public finances.
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Despite the fuel tax discount, prices in Germany have risen again after an initial drop. ADAC and the Federal Cartel Office criticize that the 17-cent-per-liter tax cut is not fully passed on to consumers. Oil companies and associations dispute this.