一项新的分析显示，受食品和交通成本上涨影响，石油危机可能导致菲律宾超过39.6万户低收入家庭跌破贫困线。
国会政策与预算研究部发布了不同冲击情景下的预测数据。在最坏的情况下，将有396,067户家庭陷入贫困。在第二种情景下，较轻微的冲击将影响293,152户家庭，而在第一种情景下则为185,654户。
该智库呼吁马科斯政府将现金援助范围扩大到官方贫困家庭之外。报告指出，仅向现有贫困人口提供救济会让新受影响的家庭失去保障，扩大覆盖范围不仅更有效，而且在财政上也更具效率。
目前燃料供应依然充足。截至5月8日，全国库存量维持在50.70天的供应水平，符合能源部的目标。能源部副部长莎伦·加林（Sharon Garin）敦促民众继续节约能源。报告发布当日柴油价格下调，预计每升至少降价9.57比索，这使得马尼拉大都会及其他城市的柴油价格低于汽油价格。
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A total of 425 out of 14,485 gas stations nationwide were temporarily closed as of March 27 due to the fuel crisis triggered by the Iran war, according to the Philippine National Police. The Cordillera Administrative Region recorded the highest number at 79, while President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. declared a national energy emergency.
Energy Secretary Sharon Garin warned of a possible fuel price increase starting April 20, following a rollback announced by President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. effective April 14. She attributed this to uncertainties involving US President Donald Trump and Middle East conflicts. Garin shared this during a Senate PROTECT committee hearing on April 13.
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The Department of Energy welcomed progress in US-Iran peace talks but cautioned that restoring domestic fuel prices to pre-crisis levels could require six to 12 months. Officials emphasized that the situation now involves broader economic effects beyond oil supply.
Diesel and kerosene prices may decrease by more than P11 per liter today, the Department of Energy said, though some oil companies chose smaller cuts.
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Oil firms confirmed price rollbacks effective 6 a.m. Tuesday, April 14, matching Department of Energy projections: diesel down P20.89 to P23 per liter, gasoline P4.43 to P4.50, and kerosene P8.50. The cuts end surges of over P100 on diesel since late February's Middle East crisis. President Marcos suspended excise taxes on LPG and kerosene, while a jeepney subsidy launches.
Surging fuel prices are grounding more fishers in the Philippines, reducing daily catches and threatening food security, witnesses said at a Senate hearing on April 8.
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Oil companies in the Philippines began implementing steep fuel price cuts on Tuesday, June 2, with diesel falling by P9.26 per liter. The Department of Energy set the reductions for the week of June 2 to 8.