Tesla Boosts EV Market Share as Competitors Struggle in November Slump

Tesla's US EV market share jumped 30% to 56% in November 2025 despite a 23% sales drop to 39,800 units—the weakest quarter since 2022—while overall EV sales fell 41% post-tax credit expiration. Legacy rivals like Ford and GM face billions in losses amid a fragmented market.

As detailed in prior coverage of Tesla's November sales plunge following the September 30, 2025, federal EV tax credit's end, Cox Automotive data confirms the 39,800-unit figure marked Tesla's lowest quarterly performance since 2022. Yet, with total US EV sales tumbling 41% year-over-year, Tesla's dominance strengthened, its share rising from 43% to 56%.

Tesla's erosion from 80% market share in 2019 continues as legacy automakers ramp up, but struggle: Ford projects $5 billion in EV losses this year despite <10% share, while GM and Hyundai vie for scraps. Experian data shows Model Y at 30% of Q3 EV sales, Model 3 at 10%, Chevy Equinox EV and Hyundai IONIQ 5 at ~5% each, with 10 models hitting 2%+. The market's fragmentation underscores Tesla's edge, with entry Model Y at $37,990 MSRP vs. industry average ~$58,000.

Challenges persist for rivals amid shrinking demand; iSeeCars predicts EVs at just 4% of 2026 new car sales. Tesla eyes a $25,000 sedan, while CEO Elon Musk pivots to AI/robotics. Investors see reassurance in the share gain.

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Illustration of empty Tesla dealership lot with unsold Model 3 and Y cars, signs noting end of $7,500 EV tax credit and 23% sales drop.
Image generated by AI

Tesla US Sales Plunge After EV Tax Credit Ends, Despite Cheaper Models

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Tesla's US sales dropped 23% year-over-year to 39,800 vehicles in November 2025—the lowest since January 2022—following the $7,500 federal EV tax credit's expiration on September 30. New Standard variants of Model 3 and Y failed to stem the tide amid a broader 41% EV market decline, though Tesla's share rose to 56.7%.

Electric vehicle sales in the United States totaled more than 1.27 million units in 2025, capturing 7.8% of new-car sales, according to Kelley Blue Book estimates. While Tesla maintained its dominance with over 589,000 vehicles sold, General Motors surged 48% to claim second place. A sharp Q4 decline followed the expiration of the federal $7,500 tax credit in September.

Reported by AI

Cox Automotive predicts an 8.9% drop in Tesla's US vehicle sales for 2025 to 577,097 units, down from 633,762 in 2024, amid growing competition from Toyota and GM that could erode Tesla's market share from 4.0% to 3.5%. This follows a challenging year capped by November's slump after federal EV tax credits ended.

In the 2025 global EV sales race—where BYD claimed the top spot with 2.26 million units—Tesla's deliveries fell 8.5% to a precise 1,636,129 vehicles, with production down 6.7%. Q4 figures missed lowered expectations, revealing stark European drops amid competition and policy headwinds, though Norway bucked the trend.

Reported by AI

Tesla's unusual pre-earnings consensus of 422,850 Q4 2025 vehicle deliveries—a 15% drop from 2024 and below Wall Street's 440,000-445,000 forecast—highlights persistent EV headwinds. Added challenges include a post-tax-credit US sales trough, Chinese rivals, and a nearly 30% plunge in European demand linked to CEO Elon Musk's political activities.

New data shows Tesla's electric vehicle sales in Europe dropped 27.8% in 2025 compared to 2024. Registrations fell from 326,000 to 235,000 vehicles amid growing competition and policy changes. This slowdown raises questions about the brand's momentum in the EV market.

Reported by AI

Tesla shares dipped slightly to around $447 on December 12, 2025, following a sharp 23% year-over-year U.S. November sales drop to 39,800 vehicles—the lowest since January 2022—and board member Kimbal Musk's $25.6 million share sale on December 9. This adds to recent pressures, including Morgan Stanley's downgrade last week, amid an 'EV winter' and divided analyst views.

 

 

 

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