PAGASA itinaas ang El Niño alert level

Itinaas ng state weather bureau na PAGASA ang alert at warning system nito sa El Niño alert level dahil inaasahan ang paglaganap ng weather phenomenon sa susunod na quarter. Ayon kay Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section chief Ana Liza Solis, may 79 porsiyentong tsansa ng El Niño sa June-July-August season at maaaring manatili hanggang 2027.

Sa isang press briefing, ibinahagi ni Ana Liza Solis ng Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration na may mataas na posibilidad ng drier-than-usual conditions sa panahon ng El Niño, na maaaring magdulot ng droughts at dry spells sa ilang bahagi ng bansa.

Inihayag din niyang tinatanggal nila ang mga claim tungkol sa 'Super El Niño,' ngunit hindi nila tinutuluyan ang posibilidad na lumakas ito sa huling kalahati ng taon.

Ang pagtaas ng alert level ay nagpapahanda sa potensyal na negatibong epekto ng El Niño, na karaniwang nagdudulot ng mas tuyong panahon.

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Drought-stricken Andes landscape with forest fires and NOAA El Niño forecast map overlay, illustrating 90% probability warning.
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NOAA raises El Niño probability to 90% for September 2026

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The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated its forecasts, estimating a 90% probability of El Niño starting in September 2026 and lasting through the year's final quarter. It raised the May-July projection from 25% in March to 61%. Experts warn of impacts in regions like the Caribbean, Andes, and Orinoquía, including forest fire risks from water deficits and thermal stress.

El Niño conditions are now present in the tropical Pacific, with an 80 percent probability of developing into a full-blown event persisting until early 2027, the state weather bureau said.

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Global weather agencies have declared that El Niño has started in the tropical Pacific. Models indicate a 63 per cent chance it will become a very strong or super El Niño.

The Hong Kong Observatory said the developing El Nino could intensify four to seven tropical cyclones into super typhoons this year. It also forecast temperatures in the city could reach 35 degrees Celsius on Friday.

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The low pressure area formerly known as Tropical Cyclone Caloy is forecast to weaken and dissipate over the Philippine Sea by Friday or Saturday without affecting the country.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration announced on Saturday that the southwest monsoon or habagat season has officially started.

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Following Monday's conditions, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration said the Intertropical Convergence Zone, easterlies, and localized thunderstorms will bring rains across the country on Tuesday.

 

 

 

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