Citic Securities analysts compare Hormuz strait to US 'Suez moment'

Beijing-based Citic Securities has compared the US dilemma in the Strait of Hormuz to Britain's 'Suez moment' in the 1950s, suggesting it could mark a turning point for American global supremacy. In a report published on Saturday, analysts said the US is now 'wedged' in the strait, facing a challenge to its control and searching for a way out. The analysis comes amid shipping blockades by the US and Iran in the vital waterway.

Citic Securities analysts described the current Strait of Hormuz situation as a potential 'Hormuz moment' for the US in a report published on Saturday, drawing parallels to Britain's loss of global superpower status during the 1950s Suez Canal crisis.

The report stated: 'The Suez moment marked the United Kingdom’s relinquishing of global power.' It portrayed the United States as on the horns of a dilemma that might accelerate Washington's strategic retreat and its increasingly transactional relationships with other powers. With global attention on US and Iranian shipping blockades in the strait and vessel transits, the Beijing-headquartered investment bank assessed long-term gains and losses that could reshape the global economic order.

' This may well be a Hormuz moment from which we can draw several inferences about the evolution of the global order,' the report said. Economic strength has long been a key arena in the Beijing-Washington rivalry, with scholars predicting China could surpass the US as the world's largest economy within a decade.

On Friday, Iran declared it would allow non-military vessels to pass through the strait but reimposed restrictions on Saturday, accusing Washington of 'banditry'.

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Illustration of U.S. strikes on Iranian mine-laying boats in the Strait of Hormuz amid Iran's closure claim and shipping attacks.
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Iran says it has closed the Strait of Hormuz as U.S. reports strikes on suspected minelayers amid rising shipping attacks

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Iran has claimed the Strait of Hormuz is closed after a surge of attacks on commercial vessels since late February, while the U.S. military says it destroyed Iranian mine-laying boats near the vital oil chokepoint—an escalation that has heightened fears of prolonged disruption to energy and trade flows.

The United States warned shipping companies they could face sanctions for payments to Iran to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. The alert heightens pressure amid the US-Iran standoff over control of the vital waterway. South Korea's foreign minister urged safe navigation in a call with his Iranian counterpart.

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Iran returned the Strait of Hormuz to full military control on Saturday, just a day after announcing its reopening to commercial traffic during a U.S.-Iran ceasefire. The rapid reversal came amid persistent U.S. naval restrictions and low actual transits, heightening tensions in the key energy corridor.

In the escalating Strait of Hormuz crisis—now in its fourth week after Iran's March blockade—the US has started enforcing President Donald Trump's April 13 sanctions by blocking ships carrying drones to and from Iranian ports. The move intensifies pressure on Tehran to reopen the vital oil chokepoint amid failed nuclear talks.

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The United States has expanded its maritime blockade on Iranian-linked vessels, intercepting ships bound for China and pressuring Beijing's energy supplies. U.S. forces boarded the sanctioned tanker M/T Tifani in the Indo-Pacific on April 21, while another vessel, the Rich Starry, turned back from the Strait of Hormuz. Experts say China is managing short-term impacts through reserves but faces diplomatic challenges.

One day after announcing the Strait open during a fragile ceasefire, Iran has reimposed strict military control over the Strait of Hormuz, prioritizing passage for vessels that pay fees while delaying others. Officials cited repeated US breaches of trust, including an ongoing blockade of Iranian ports.

Rapporté par l'IA Vérifié par des faits

Iran’s ability to sell crude has come under mounting pressure since the United States began enforcing a naval blockade aimed at Iranian shipping in mid-April 2026, prompting warnings that storage could fill within weeks and that forced production cuts could damage older oil fields. Tehran has tied broader talks with Washington to changes in maritime restrictions as the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz drags on.

 

 

 

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