Citic Securities analysts compare Hormuz strait to US 'Suez moment'

Beijing-based Citic Securities has compared the US dilemma in the Strait of Hormuz to Britain's 'Suez moment' in the 1950s, suggesting it could mark a turning point for American global supremacy. In a report published on Saturday, analysts said the US is now 'wedged' in the strait, facing a challenge to its control and searching for a way out. The analysis comes amid shipping blockades by the US and Iran in the vital waterway.

Citic Securities analysts described the current Strait of Hormuz situation as a potential 'Hormuz moment' for the US in a report published on Saturday, drawing parallels to Britain's loss of global superpower status during the 1950s Suez Canal crisis.

The report stated: 'The Suez moment marked the United Kingdom’s relinquishing of global power.' It portrayed the United States as on the horns of a dilemma that might accelerate Washington's strategic retreat and its increasingly transactional relationships with other powers. With global attention on US and Iranian shipping blockades in the strait and vessel transits, the Beijing-headquartered investment bank assessed long-term gains and losses that could reshape the global economic order.

' This may well be a Hormuz moment from which we can draw several inferences about the evolution of the global order,' the report said. Economic strength has long been a key arena in the Beijing-Washington rivalry, with scholars predicting China could surpass the US as the world's largest economy within a decade.

On Friday, Iran declared it would allow non-military vessels to pass through the strait but reimposed restrictions on Saturday, accusing Washington of 'banditry'.

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Iran has claimed the Strait of Hormuz is closed after a surge of attacks on commercial vessels since late February, while the U.S. military says it destroyed Iranian mine-laying boats near the vital oil chokepoint—an escalation that has heightened fears of prolonged disruption to energy and trade flows.

Iran returned the Strait of Hormuz to full military control on Saturday, just a day after announcing its reopening to commercial traffic during a U.S.-Iran ceasefire. The rapid reversal came amid persistent U.S. naval restrictions and low actual transits, heightening tensions in the key energy corridor.

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Chinese President Xi Jinping urged Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on Monday to keep the Strait of Hormuz open for normal passage amid repeated blockades triggered by US-Israeli strikes on Iran since February 28. According to CCTV, it was Xi's first public call for reopening the vital waterway, alongside pushes for an immediate ceasefire and diplomatic resolutions.

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TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné said on Monday that a toll would be preferable to a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil and gas passes. He spoke at a conference in Washington on the sidelines of the IMF and World Bank spring meetings. He warned of supply tensions if the situation lasts beyond three months.

Amid the ongoing Iran conflict, where Iran has restricted Strait of Hormuz access to non-US/Israeli-linked ships, at least eight vessels—including three Iran-linked tankers—passed through on Tuesday, the first day of the US naval blockade on Iranian ports announced by President Donald Trump. Shipping data shows no interruptions, despite US claims of no breaches.

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Iran said Friday that commercial vessels can again transit the Strait of Hormuz under routes coordinated with Iranian authorities for the duration of a ceasefire, a claim echoed by U.S. President Donald Trump. But shipping risks — including concerns over sea mines and unclear security conditions — have kept many operators cautious, even as the United States maintains a blockade on traffic to and from Iranian ports.

 

 

 

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