Inflasi April 2026 terkendali di 2,42 persen menurut pemerintah dan BPS

Inflasi Indonesia pada April 2026 tercatat 0,13 persen secara bulanan dan 2,42 persen secara tahunan. Menteri Keuangan Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa menyatakan kebijakan mempertahankan subsidi BBM berhasil meredam lonjakan inflasi di sektor energi. BPS menjelaskan kenaikan harga BBM non-subsidi tidak berdampak signifikan.

Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) melaporkan inflasi April 2026 sebesar 0,13 persen month-to-month (mtm), 2,42 persen year-on-year (yoy), dan 1,06 persen year-to-date (ytd). Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK) naik dari 108,47 pada April 2025 menjadi 111,09 pada April 2026.

Menteri Keuangan Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa mengatakan tekanan inflasi mulai mereda berkat normalisasi kebijakan pemerintah. Ia menekankan upaya mempertahankan subsidi BBM di tengah gejolak geopolitik dan harga minyak dunia yang tinggi berhasil mengendalikan inflasi, khususnya di sektor energi. "Tapi, kalau kita lepas harga minyak, harga BBM sesuai dengan harga minyak dunia, pasti inflasinya naik tinggi, dan daya beli akan tergerus," kata Purbaya di Kementerian Keuangan, Jakarta, pada Senin, 4 Mei 2026.

Deputi Bidang Statistik Distribusi dan Jasa BPS, Ateng Hartono, menjelaskan kenaikan harga BBM non-subsidi pertengahan April tidak berdampak signifikan karena bobotnya kecil. Komoditas bensin hanya menyumbang 0,02 persen terhadap inflasi umum bulanan. "Karena (bensin) ini bobotnya kecil, jadi pengaruh di inflasinya itu relatif tidak begitu besar," ujar Ateng dalam telekonferensi pers pada hari yang sama.

Ateng juga menyebut kenaikan harga avtur memengaruhi tiket pesawat, tetapi dampaknya terbatas. Inflasi jasa angkutan penumpang mencapai 15,24 persen mtm karena normalisasi tarif setelah deflasi akibat stimulus pemerintah triwulan I 2026.

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Illustration depicting surging oil prices over 115 USD due to Middle East conflict, with economic impacts on Indonesia including rupiah weakening.
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Global oil prices surpass 115 USD due to Middle East conflict

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Global crude oil prices have surpassed 115 USD per barrel, triggered by escalation in the Iran-AS-Israel war and Houthi threats. Economists warn of fiscal risks for Indonesia, including rupiah weakening to Rp17,002 per USD and potential APBN deficit. Pertamina denies rumors of non-subsidy fuel price hikes starting April 1, 2026.

CORE Indonesia projects March 2026 annual inflation at 3.5-3.6 percent, down from February's 4.76 percent. The forecast reflects a low-base effect from electricity tariffs, though Lebaran and non-subsidized fuel prices may push monthly inflation higher. Official BPS data is due on April 1, 2026.

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House Speaker Puan Maharani has urged the government to explain the reasons behind Pertamina's non-subsidi fuel price increase effective April 18, 2026. She seeks clarity on how long the hike will last and mitigation steps for the Iran-US conflict impact. Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia stated that non-subsidi prices follow global markets.

Coordinating Minister for the Economy Airlangga Hartarto has proposed issuing a government regulation in lieu of law (Perppu) on the 2026 state budget to President Prabowo Subianto. The proposal arises from the potential for the APBN deficit to exceed 3 percent due to surging global oil prices amid the Middle East conflict. This was presented during a full cabinet plenary session at Istana Negara in Jakarta on March 13, 2026.

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The Indonesian government is optimistic that economic growth in the first quarter of 2026 will reach 5.5-6 percent, breaking the stagnant pattern around 5 percent. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa stated this at the Indonesia Economic Outlook 2026 event in Jakarta.

Tokyo's core consumer price index rose 1.8% in February, falling below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time since October 2024. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's utility subsidies curbed household energy costs, posing a communication challenge for the central bank's planned interest rate hikes. The figure exceeded economists' median forecast of 1.7%.

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South Korea's consumer prices rose 2.2 percent in March from a year earlier, government data showed Thursday. The increase, exceeding the government's 2 percent inflation target, was mainly driven by a surge in global oil prices due to prolonged Middle East tensions. It marks the steepest rise since December's 2.3 percent, according to the Ministry of Data and Statistics.

 

 

 

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