China remains unfazed by Japan's potential photoresist export bans

Chinese semiconductor industry experts and executives express confidence in handling potential Japanese restrictions on photoresist exports to China, highlighting domestic alternatives and supply chain diversification. No production disruptions have been reported so far.

Market speculation has emerged that Japan may restrict exports of photoresist—a light-sensitive material essential for etching microscopic circuits onto silicon wafers in semiconductor manufacturing—to China. Japan holds over 70 percent of the global photoresist market, according to Nikkei, and this potential action is seen as a response to China's recent ban on exporting dual-use items to Japan.

Voices from China's semiconductor ecosystem convey calm and confidence, backed by domestic substitution and supply chain diversification. Yi Rongkun, general manager of Xiamen Hengkun New Material Technology Co Ltd, told China Daily: "From the actual situation on the market end, we have not heard of any customer production being affected so far." He added that the industry consensus remains to "prepare for rainy days and prevent worst-case scenarios."

Sources from leading Chinese chipmakers Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp and Huahong Group informed China Daily that no ban exists yet and highlighted "significant progress" in domestic photoresist production. Jiangsu Nata Opto-electronic Material, which developed one of China's first self-made ArF DUV photoresists, reported revenue exceeding 10 million yuan ($1.43 million) from ArF photoresist in 2024 and maintained stable supply in 2025.

Financial markets showed optimism on Thursday, with shares in photoresist-related firms opening sharply higher. Shanghai Pret Composites Co Ltd surged by the daily limit of 10 percent, while Jiangsu Nata Opto-electronic Material and Anhui Guofeng New Materials Co Ltd also posted substantial gains.

Roger Sheng, vice-president of research at Gartner, stated: "We believe there must be contingency plans for Japanese chip-related products, if Japan retaliates. Photoresist, materials, equipment—there must already be alternative substitution plans." He noted options from South Korean suppliers and clarified that the needed photoresist is not at the EUV level. He Hui, semiconductor research director at Omdia, said any cutoff would accelerate China's local self-sufficiency, with imports possible from South Korea or elsewhere. She drew parallels to Japan's 2019 restrictions on materials to South Korea, which spurred that country's supply chain independence.

An unnamed executive from a Chinese semiconductor equipment firm remarked: "Even if it were real, it would be fine. Our capacity to withstand this is stronger than South Korea's." Experts suggest such pressures will hasten China's photoresist sector growth and end reliance on single foreign supply chains.

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South Korean officials in urgent meeting assessing supply chain risks from China's export ban to Japan.
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South Korea braces for supply chain fallout from China's dual-use export ban to Japan

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Following China's January 6 ban on dual-use exports to Japan—retaliation for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Taiwan remarks—South Korea's industries face risks from interconnected supply chains. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources held an emergency meeting on January 8 to evaluate impacts and pledged safeguards against shortages.

In the wake of China's January 7 ban on dual-use exports to Japan's military—prompted by politician Sanae Takaichi's Taiwan remarks and already protested by Tokyo as 'extremely regrettable'—analysts warn of vulnerabilities in the semiconductor sector, where Japan holds key leverage amid escalating tensions.

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日本企業は、中国の最新の希土類輸出規制の影響を評価中であり、その影響は来月まで明らかにならない見込みだ。北京は先週、日本軍事能力を支援する可能性のある800以上の二重用途物品の販売を禁止した。このリストには希土類が含まれるが、昨年4月以来、より広範な輸出規制が適用されている。

日本政府支援の探査船「ちきゅう」が1月12日、静岡港から出航し、ミナミトリ島沖の海底泥からレアアースを採取する世界初の試みを開始した。中国による供給制限の強化を受け、日本は中国依存を減らす国内調達を目指している。G7財務相会合でも供給チェーンの安定化が議論される見通しだ。

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中国のアナログ半導体メーカー各社が、テキサス・インスツルメンツ(TI)など世界的大手に歩調を合わせ、相次いで製品価格を引き上げた。アナリストは、この値上げにより中国のレガシーノード生産企業は、利益率を大きく損なうことなく米欧の競合他社と競争できるようになると分析している。価格改定の背景には、上流コストの高騰とAI(人工知能)需要の爆発的な増加がある。

中国商務省は、 Sanae Takaichi 日本首相の台湾に関する発言により、日中間の貿易協力が深刻に損なわれたと述べ、発言の撤回を求めている。この外交摩擦は、Takaichi 氏が11月7日に議会で中国の台湾攻撃に対する日本の軍事対応の可能性を述べたことに端を発する。北京は日本産海産物の輸入禁止を再開し、旅行ボイコットを呼びかけている。

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Amid ongoing global trade uncertainties, South Korea plans to counter economic challenges in 2026 by capitalizing on the artificial intelligence boom and its semiconductor sector. Experts highlight robust exports and a U.S. tariff deal as growth drivers, while pointing to Chinese competition and weak domestic demand as key risks.

 

 

 

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