China remains unfazed by Japan's potential photoresist export bans

Chinese semiconductor industry experts and executives express confidence in handling potential Japanese restrictions on photoresist exports to China, highlighting domestic alternatives and supply chain diversification. No production disruptions have been reported so far.

Market speculation has emerged that Japan may restrict exports of photoresist—a light-sensitive material essential for etching microscopic circuits onto silicon wafers in semiconductor manufacturing—to China. Japan holds over 70 percent of the global photoresist market, according to Nikkei, and this potential action is seen as a response to China's recent ban on exporting dual-use items to Japan.

Voices from China's semiconductor ecosystem convey calm and confidence, backed by domestic substitution and supply chain diversification. Yi Rongkun, general manager of Xiamen Hengkun New Material Technology Co Ltd, told China Daily: "From the actual situation on the market end, we have not heard of any customer production being affected so far." He added that the industry consensus remains to "prepare for rainy days and prevent worst-case scenarios."

Sources from leading Chinese chipmakers Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp and Huahong Group informed China Daily that no ban exists yet and highlighted "significant progress" in domestic photoresist production. Jiangsu Nata Opto-electronic Material, which developed one of China's first self-made ArF DUV photoresists, reported revenue exceeding 10 million yuan ($1.43 million) from ArF photoresist in 2024 and maintained stable supply in 2025.

Financial markets showed optimism on Thursday, with shares in photoresist-related firms opening sharply higher. Shanghai Pret Composites Co Ltd surged by the daily limit of 10 percent, while Jiangsu Nata Opto-electronic Material and Anhui Guofeng New Materials Co Ltd also posted substantial gains.

Roger Sheng, vice-president of research at Gartner, stated: "We believe there must be contingency plans for Japanese chip-related products, if Japan retaliates. Photoresist, materials, equipment—there must already be alternative substitution plans." He noted options from South Korean suppliers and clarified that the needed photoresist is not at the EUV level. He Hui, semiconductor research director at Omdia, said any cutoff would accelerate China's local self-sufficiency, with imports possible from South Korea or elsewhere. She drew parallels to Japan's 2019 restrictions on materials to South Korea, which spurred that country's supply chain independence.

An unnamed executive from a Chinese semiconductor equipment firm remarked: "Even if it were real, it would be fine. Our capacity to withstand this is stronger than South Korea's." Experts suggest such pressures will hasten China's photoresist sector growth and end reliance on single foreign supply chains.

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South Korean officials in urgent meeting assessing supply chain risks from China's export ban to Japan.
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South Korea braces for supply chain fallout from China's dual-use export ban to Japan

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Following China's January 6 ban on dual-use exports to Japan—retaliation for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Taiwan remarks—South Korea's industries face risks from interconnected supply chains. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources held an emergency meeting on January 8 to evaluate impacts and pledged safeguards against shortages.

In the wake of China's January 7 ban on dual-use exports to Japan's military—prompted by politician Sanae Takaichi's Taiwan remarks and already protested by Tokyo as 'extremely regrettable'—analysts warn of vulnerabilities in the semiconductor sector, where Japan holds key leverage amid escalating tensions.

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日本企業は、中国の最新の希土類輸出規制の影響を評価中であり、その影響は来月まで明らかにならない見込みだ。北京は先週、日本軍事能力を支援する可能性のある800以上の二重用途物品の販売を禁止した。このリストには希土類が含まれるが、昨年4月以来、より広範な輸出規制が適用されている。

米国ワシントンで開催されたG7財務相会合で、参加国は中国による日本への希土類輸出制限への対応として、供給チェーンの多様化を迅速に進めることで合意した。中国の支配的な供給状況が世界的な懸念を呼んでいる中、価格下限設定などの議論も行われた。

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1月12日、ワシントンで重要鉱物に関する閣僚級会合が開催され、G7諸国の財務相らが中国からのレアアース依存低減で合意した。中国の輸出制限を経済的強制の手段とする戦略が強まる中、この動きは電動自動車や半導体などの技術基盤を支える資源確保に不可欠だ。

ホンダは、半導体不足の影響で今月後半から来年1月上旬にかけて、日本と中国の一部の工場で車両生産を削減する計画だ。日本では1月5日から6日に一部工場を停止し、中国では合弁工場の3カ所で12月29日から5日間操業を停止する。

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台湾をめぐる外交摩擦の高まりを受け、中国政府が国民に日本旅行を控えるよう呼びかけた後、複数の大手中国旅行会社が日本行きツアーの販売を停止した。日本首相の茶々一禎恵氏の発言が引き金となったこの措置により、日本国内のホテルでキャンセルが発生し、中国での日本映画公開も延期されている。

 

 

 

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